Tag: convective

Official

SPC May 8, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 081630Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID-SOUTH INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST...AND PARTS OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with severe wind gusts and large hail are expected today over parts of the Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians/Southeast, with isolated very large hail possible. Severe wind gusts and large to very large hail will also be possible across portions of west/south Texas including
Official

SPC May 8, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 AM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 081300Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...SOUTHEAST AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with severe wind gusts and large hail are expected today over parts of the Tennessee Valley, and southern Appalachians, with hailstones greater than 2 inches in diameter possible. Severe wind gusts and large hail will also be possible in other parts of the Southeast, as well as West/South Texas including the
Official

SPC May 8, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0735 PM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... An appreciable severe threat is not expected across the continental United States through daybreak on Thursday. ...DISCUSSION... Latest water vapor imagery shows a mid-level low over eastern Kansas, with a long fetch of west-southwesterly flow from the southern Plains to the East Coast. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible this evening from the vicinity of the low southeastward into part of the mid Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley
Official

SPC May 7, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0752 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 071300Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...OZARKS...GULF COAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may occur today across parts of the southern Plains and Ozarks to the Gulf Coast. ...Coastal/south-central Texas to middle Gulf Coast... A cluster of previously severe storms (overnight) across Deep South Texas is now over the western Gulf, with substantial effective-boundary-reinforcing elevated convection spanning the upper Texas coast to coastal Louisiana and the Mobile Bay
Official

SPC May 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0752 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH TEXAS...THE TEXAS COASTAL PLAIN...SABINE RIVER VALLEY...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, associated with large hail, severe gusts and an isolated tornado threat, will be possible across parts of the Texas Coastal Plain, Sabine River Valley and lower Mississippi Valley this evening. Marginally severe hail will also be possible in parts of west Texas. ...Texas Coastal Plain/Sabine River Valley/Lower Mississippi Valley... Latest surface
Official

SPC May 6, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 061300Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST/SOUTHEAST TEXAS TO WESTERN LOUISIANA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected today into this evening especially across central into east/southeast Texas into Louisiana. Large to very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes, potentially a few of which may be strong, can be expected. Severe storms may also occur across parts of
Official

SPC May 6, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 060100Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF FAR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms, potentially with very large hail and wind gusts exceeding 70 mph, are expected this evening into tonight across parts of the southern High Plains. Isolated severe storms will also be possible in parts of the Mid Atlantic
Official

SPC May 5, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 AM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 051300Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND UPPER OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected across eastern New Mexico and west/central Texas this afternoon into tonight. Scattered large to very large hail and severe winds are the primary threats, though a couple of tornadoes also are possible. Additional strong to severe storms are
Official

SPC May 5, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun May 04 2025 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER OHIO RIVER VALLEY...PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS.... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will remain possible through the late evening hours across parts of southeast New Mexico and western Texas as well as across parts of the central Appalachians and parts of the Carolinas and southeast Virginia. ...Synopsis... An omega blocking pattern will continue to
Official

SPC May 4, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 AM CDT Sun May 04 2025 Valid 041300Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe storms are expected across east-central and southeast New Mexico and far west Texas this afternoon and evening, with a threat for large hail, isolated severe wind gusts, and possibly a tornado. Other strong to locally severe storms are possible from Florida northward into the Mid-Atlantic and Allegheny Plateau. ...New Mexico/West Texas... In advance