Tag: convective

Official

SPC May 9, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CDT Fri May 09 2025 Valid 091630Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EASTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND FAR SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA/FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and severe wind gusts are possible across parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast, especially from the eastern Florida Peninsula through southeast Georgia, and across northeastern North Carolina/far southeast Virginia. ...Synopsis... Recent satellite imagery shows a pair of cyclones embedded within
Official

SPC May 9, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0741 AM CDT Fri May 09 2025 Valid 091300Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE FL PENINSULA AND FAR SOUTHEAST VA/NORTHEAST NC... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and severe wind gusts are possible across parts of the Southeast, but especially areas such as the northern Florida Peninsula and eastern North Carolina/far southeast Virginia. ...Florida/coastal Southeast... Weak height falls and strengthening southwesterly winds aloft will occur later today into tonight preceding the upper trough along the
Official

SPC May 9, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 090100Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH TEXAS...THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with severe wind gusts and large hail will continue this evening over parts of the Tennessee Valley, southern Appalachians and Southeast. Severe wind gusts and large hail are also expected across parts of south Texas, where hailstones of greater than 2 inches in diameter will be possible. ...Tennessee Valley/Southern Appalachians/Southeast... Latest water vapor
Official

SPC May 8, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 081630Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID-SOUTH INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST...AND PARTS OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with severe wind gusts and large hail are expected today over parts of the Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians/Southeast, with isolated very large hail possible. Severe wind gusts and large to very large hail will also be possible across portions of west/south Texas including
Official

SPC May 8, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 AM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 081300Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...SOUTHEAST AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with severe wind gusts and large hail are expected today over parts of the Tennessee Valley, and southern Appalachians, with hailstones greater than 2 inches in diameter possible. Severe wind gusts and large hail will also be possible in other parts of the Southeast, as well as West/South Texas including the
Official

SPC May 8, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0735 PM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... An appreciable severe threat is not expected across the continental United States through daybreak on Thursday. ...DISCUSSION... Latest water vapor imagery shows a mid-level low over eastern Kansas, with a long fetch of west-southwesterly flow from the southern Plains to the East Coast. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible this evening from the vicinity of the low southeastward into part of the mid Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley
Official

SPC May 7, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0752 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 071300Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...OZARKS...GULF COAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may occur today across parts of the southern Plains and Ozarks to the Gulf Coast. ...Coastal/south-central Texas to middle Gulf Coast... A cluster of previously severe storms (overnight) across Deep South Texas is now over the western Gulf, with substantial effective-boundary-reinforcing elevated convection spanning the upper Texas coast to coastal Louisiana and the Mobile Bay
Official

SPC May 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0752 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH TEXAS...THE TEXAS COASTAL PLAIN...SABINE RIVER VALLEY...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, associated with large hail, severe gusts and an isolated tornado threat, will be possible across parts of the Texas Coastal Plain, Sabine River Valley and lower Mississippi Valley this evening. Marginally severe hail will also be possible in parts of west Texas. ...Texas Coastal Plain/Sabine River Valley/Lower Mississippi Valley... Latest surface
Official

SPC May 6, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 061300Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST/SOUTHEAST TEXAS TO WESTERN LOUISIANA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected today into this evening especially across central into east/southeast Texas into Louisiana. Large to very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes, potentially a few of which may be strong, can be expected. Severe storms may also occur across parts of
Official

SPC May 6, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 060100Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF FAR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms, potentially with very large hail and wind gusts exceeding 70 mph, are expected this evening into tonight across parts of the southern High Plains. Isolated severe storms will also be possible in parts of the Mid Atlantic