Tag: convective

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0620 AM CST Fri Feb 28 2025 Valid 281300Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities are very low Friday. Relatively dry and stable conditions will preclude organized thunderstorm development across the continental US today. ..Hart/Grams.. 02/28/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0640 PM CST Thu Feb 27 2025 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms remain possible this evening, primarily across parts of the Mid/Upper Ohio Valley vicinity. ...01z Update... Strong upper trough is advancing across the OH/TN Valley region early this evening. Strong height falls will spread across the Mid Atlantic/Carolinas as the primary synoptic front shifts off the Atlantic Coast by 06z. Isolated thunderstorms continue ahead of a weaker, secondary surface boundary over the OH Valley, but this activity

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0702 AM CST Thu Feb 27 2025 Valid 271300Z - 281200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible from the Mid and Upper Ohio Valley to the Carolinas/southern Virginia. ...Synopsis... Recent satellite imagery shows a pair of shortwave troughs moving through the broadly cyclonic flow aloft extending from the northern/central Plains and southern Canadian Prairies into the OH Valley and Northeast. The lead wave in the pair is currently over the Upper OH Valley, and should continue northeastward through the

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 PM CST Wed Feb 26 2025 Valid 270100Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms remain possible across the Midwest and Ohio Valley this evening. Severe thunderstorm threat is low. ...01z Update... Low-amplitude short-wave trough is ejecting across the Ohio Valley. Large-scale forcing ahead of this feature is primarily responsible for scattered convection that currently extends from western PA, arcing southwest along the Ohio River into southeast MO. While much of this activity is not producing lightning, isolated thunderstorms are noted

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0632 AM CST Wed Feb 26 2025 Valid 261300Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible across the Midwest and Ohio Valley this afternoon and evening. Severe storms are not expected. ...Synopsis... Recent satellite imagery shows a pair of shortwave troughs within the northern stream, one currently over the central Plains and the other farther west over the northern Rockies. The central Plains shortwave is expected to continue eastward throughout the day, moving through the Mid MS Valley and much

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0625 PM CST Tue Feb 25 2025 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few isolated thunderstorms are possible across the northern/central Plains this evening. Severe thunderstorms are not anticipated. ...01z Update... Modifications were made to thunder to account for ongoing thunderstorm activity across South Dakota and Nebraska and to remove thunder chances across Colorado. As a shortwave impulse continues eastward this evening, cooling aloft and steep lapse rates will allow for sufficient instability for a few additional thunderstorms to develop