Tag: convective

Official

SPC Apr 2, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...FAR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...WESTERN KENTUCKY...WESTERN TENNESSEE AND EXTREME NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... A tornado outbreak is expected today and tonight from parts of the mid Mississippi and lower Ohio Valleys westward into the eastern Ozarks. Numerous tornadoes, along with multiple long-track EF3+ tornadoes appear likely. In addition, tornadoes, severe wind gusts, and large hail will be possible across a broad area from
Official

SPC Apr 1, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1233 PM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Numerous severe storms are likely Wednesday and Wednesday night across the southern Great Lakes, Mid Mississippi Valley, and North Texas into the ArkLaTex. Severe wind gusts, very large hail, and strong tornadoes are possible. ...Synopsis... A broad mid-level trough and powerful 100+ kt jet streak will accelerate northeastward from the central Plains to the Great Lakes on
Official

SPC Apr 1, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1135 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025 Valid 011630Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Rapid, intense thunderstorm development should occur this evening over parts of the central/southern Plains. A few supercells with a risk for very large hail and strong tornadoes appear possible, particularly across central Oklahoma into eastern Kansas. A line of thunderstorms should also develop and pose a threat for severe/damaging winds across eastern Kansas into western Missouri tonight. ...OK-TX... Visible-satellite
Official

SPC Apr 1, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO THE OH/MID MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Numerous severe storms are likely Wednesday and Wednesday night across the Lower Great Lakes, Mid Mississippi Valley, and the ArkLaTex. Severe wind gusts, very large hail, and strong tornadoes are possible. ...Synopsis... A broad mid-level trough and powerful 100+ kt jet streak will move northeastward across the upper Midwest and Great Lakes regions Wednesday. Strong
Official

SPC Apr 1, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Rapid, intense thunderstorm development is possible this evening across parts of the central and southern Great Plains. A few supercells posing a risk for large hail and a couple of strong tornadoes are possible, particularly across parts of north central Oklahoma into south central Kansas. ...Discussion... Amplification of mid/upper flow across the
Official

SPC Mar 31, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0115 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST... CORRECTED FOR TYPO ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are possible late Tuesday afternoon across the central and southern Plains, with the severe threat expected to spread eastward Tuesday night. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a few tornadoes are all possible. ...Central and Southern Plains into the Midwest... A somewhat complicated convective evolution
Official

SPC Mar 30, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0107 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM VIRGINIA SOUTHWESTWARD TO PARTS OF ALABAMA...GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Strong/severe thunderstorms -- with threat for fairly widespread damaging winds and tornadoes -- are forecast Monday from portions of the Northeast southwestward to the central Gulf Coast region. ...Parts of eastern/southern New York southward to the central and eastern Gulf Coast area... An upper trough will continue advancing steadily eastward across the eastern half
Official

SPC Mar 30, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1237 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF SERN IL...IN...WRN AND CENTRAL OH...SERN MO...CNTRL AND ERN AR...KY...TN...NWRN AL...NRN AND CNTRL MS...NRN LA...NERN TX... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm development is likely to become widespread across the Ohio Valley southwestward through the Tennessee and lower Mississippi Valleys this afternoon into tonight. Initially, this activity will pose a risk for large large hail. A few tornadoes are also possible, before damaging wind
Official

SPC Mar 29, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Sat Mar 29 2025 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS A BROAD AREA CENTERED OVER THE OHIO/MID MISSISSIPPI/TENNESSEE VALLEYS... ...SUMMARY... A widespread/substantial severe-weather episode is forecast across an area centered on the Ohio/Mid and Lower Mississippi/Lower Missouri/Tennessee River Valleys. Very large hail, damaging winds, and strong tornadoes are expected. ...Synopsis... Mid-morning water vapor imagery depicts an upper-level shortwave trough across the Southwest that is the leading impulse within a longwave trough building across the eastern
Official

SPC Mar 29, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Sat Mar 29 2025 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the central/southern Plains into the mid Mississippi Valley, mainly this evening through the overnight hours. This may include an organized thunderstorm cluster across parts of Oklahoma into southeastern Kansas and western Missouri capable of producing very large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps a