Tag: convective

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025 Valid 230100Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Large hail and damaging winds remain possible this evening across parts of northwest into north central Texas. ...01z Update... Loosely organized cluster of thunderstorms is propagating southeast across northwest TX. This activity will continue drifting southeast, within modestly strong northwesterly flow that extends across the southern Plains. Water-vapor imagery suggests a weak short-wave trough may be associated

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0737 AM CDT Thu May 22 2025 Valid 221300Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are possible across parts of the southern Plains this afternoon and evening. Large hail is the main threat, along with severe gusts. A few instances of 2+ inch diameter hail are possible. ...Southern Plains... Weak short-wave ridging will shift into the central High Plains later today and mid-level heights are forecast to rise from the

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Wed May 21 2025 Valid 220100Z - 221200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE OZARKS REGION... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in the Ozarks region this evening. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery suggests a weak short-wave trough is digging southeast across NE/KS. Large-scale ascent ahead of this feature appears to be aiding weak elevated convection immediately downstream across northern KS. Over the last half hour or so, thickening cu field is noted across southwest MO

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0718 AM CDT Wed May 21 2025 Valid 211300Z - 221200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE OZARKS TO MID-SOUTH AND FAR EASTERN NC... ...SUMMARY... The most likely corridors for severe storms are across parts of far eastern North Carolina this afternoon, and the Ozarks into the Mid-South this evening. ...Eastern NC and southern VA... Morning surface analysis places a low over the Piedmont with a reservoir of lower 70s dewpoints over the coastal plain of eastern NC to the south

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 210100Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN TN...NORTHERN/CENTRAL AL AND NORTHWEST GA... ...SUMMARY... The greatest severe risk should persist this evening across eastern Tennessee, northern to central Alabama, and northwest Georgia. A few tornadoes and scattered damaging winds are likely, along with isolated large hail. ...Lower MS Valley to the Cumberland Plateau into GA and the Carolinas... A scattered to broken swath of mixed discrete supercells, clusters, and line segments is

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1115 AM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 201630Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FROM EASTERN ARKANSAS INTO MUCH OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... ...SUMMARY... Multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms are expected today through this evening, centered on the Mid/Deep South, Tennessee/Lower Ohio Valleys, and Cumberland Plateau. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong, along with scattered to widespread damaging winds, and large to isolated significant severe hail will be possible. ...KY/TN... Thunderstorms

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0739 AM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 201300Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MID/DEEP SOUTH TO TN VALLEY AND CUMBERLAND PLATEAU... ...SUMMARY... Multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms are expected today through this evening, centered on the Mid/Deep South, Tennessee/Lower Ohio Valleys, and Cumberland Plateau. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong, along with scattered to widespread damaging winds, and large to isolated significant severe hail will be possible. ...Mid/Deep South to the TN/Lower OH Valleys and Cumberland Plateau... Water-vapor

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 191630Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS FAR NORTH TEXAS...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA...SOUTHEAST KANSAS...AND THE OZARKS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EAST TENNESSEE INTO SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Significant severe weather is likely from the central/southern Plains into the the Ozarks today into tonight. All severe weather hazards are expected, to include tornadoes (some potentially strong to intense), very large hail, and severe

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 AM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FAR NORTH TEXAS...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA...SOUTHEAST KANSAS...AND THE OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Significant severe weather is likely from the central/southern Plains into the the Ozarks today into tonight. All severe weather hazards are expected, to include tornadoes (some potentially strong to intense), very large hail, and severe winds. ... Synopsis ... A large, amplified trough over the Rockies will shift slowly eastward into the Plains today.