SPC May 14, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CDT Wed May 14 2025 Valid 141630Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms should occur over parts of the Dakotas and Nebraska this afternoon and evening, and far western Iowa and southwest Minnesota overnight. Very large hail, severe wind gusts, and a couple of tornadoes all appear possible. ...Northern/Central Plains... An upper trough over the western states will pivot eastward today while gradually acquiring a negative tilt
SPC May 14, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0749 AM CDT Wed May 14 2025 Valid 141300Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible mainly over parts of the Dakotas and Nebraska this afternoon and evening, and far western Iowa and southwest Minnesota overnight. A few strong to severe storms may occur from parts of the southern Appalachians to the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic this afternoon. ...Northern/Central Plains... Surface low pressure will deepen in the
SPC May 14, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue May 13 2025 Valid 140100Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AN EASTERN VIRGINIA AND FROM NORTHEAST WYOMING AND SOUTHEAST MONTANA INTO THE WESTERN DAKOTAS... ...SUMMARY... Marginally severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening across eastern North Carolina and eastern Virginia and northern High Plains. ...Discussion... The thunderstorms have ended across the marginal in Mississippi and Alabama and additional development is not anticipated given waning daylight and a cooling boundary layer. A few strong
SPC May 13, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1122 AM CDT Tue May 13 2025 Valid 131630Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH CAROLINA INTO THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC...CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...AND NORTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms appear possible today and tonight across parts of North Carolina into the southern Mid-Atlantic, central Gulf Coast states, and northern Plains. ...North Carolina into the Southern Mid-Atlantic... A closed mid/upper-level low will continue to slowly meander from the TN Valley towards the central Appalachians through the
SPC May 13, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 AM CDT Tue May 13 2025 Valid 131300Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC...NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS...AND DEEP SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible: 1) today in vicinity of Virginia-North Carolina-West Virginia, 2) during the late afternoon to mid-evening over a portion of the Deep South, and 3) this evening into early morning Wednesday in parts of the northern Great Plains. ...NC/VA/WV vicinity... The upper-level low centered near the mid-Mississippi Valley will continue to lift
SPC May 13, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0729 PM CDT Mon May 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SAVANNAH VALLEY TO THE COASTAL CAROLINAS...AND IN NORTHEAST MT TO FAR NORTHWEST ND... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible tonight from the Savannah Valley to the coastal Carolinas, and through the rest of this evening in northeast Montana to far northwest North Dakota. ...Savannah Valley to the coastal Carolinas... Potential for strong to severe storms will remain limited across the Southeast tonight. One area
SPC May 12, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025 Valid 121630Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA AND NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the Southeast today, where a tornado or two, localized damaging winds, and hail could occur. Isolated severe wind gusts are also possible in northeast Montana to northwest North Dakota around early evening. ...Southeast... Vertically stacked cyclone persists over the Mid-South this morning. Expectation is for this system to become more
SPC May 12, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0741 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025 Valid 121300Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA AND NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the Southeast today, where a tornado or two, localized damaging winds, and hail could occur. Isolated severe wind gusts are also possible in northeast Montana to northwest North Dakota around early evening. ...Southeast States... The persistent vertically stacked mid/upper low that has been nearly stationary over the Sabine Valley/Lower Mississippi
SPC May 12, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0743 PM CDT Sun May 11 2025 Valid 120100Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN MT AND WESTERN ND... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe wind gusts may persist across parts of the northern Great Plains this evening but will subside tonight. A low-probability wind/tornado threat remains apparent across central/south Alabama to the Florida Panhandle into Monday morning. ...Northern Great Plains/Rockies... Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are ongoing across parts of the Rockies and northern Great Plains. The most likely
SPC May 11, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1119 AM CDT Sun May 11 2025 Valid 111630Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND MONTANA HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe wind gusts are expected across the northern Rockies to Montana High Plains from mid-afternoon into the evening. Isolated severe thunderstorms are also possible across the Southeast today through tonight. ...Northern Rockies/High Plains and northeast Great Basin... Strengthening southwesterly flow aloft is anticipated throughout the day as the upper low off the Pacific Northwest coast progresses