Tag: day

Official

SPC Apr 9, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0216 AM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... A couple strong to severe storms will be possible across parts of eastern North Carolina on Friday. Primary concerns will be isolated severe hail and locally damaging wind gusts. ...Eastern North Carolina... Within the base of an amplified large-scale trough moving slowly eastward across the Appalachians, the left-exit region of a cyclonically curved midlevel jet streak will overspread the
Official

SPC Apr 9, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID/DEEP SOUTH AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms capable of producing large hail and damaging gusts will be possible across portions of the Mid/Deep South and Tennessee Valley. ...Synopsis... A positively tiled large-scale trough will advance southeastward from the Upper MS Valley/Midwest to the OH/TN Valleys through the period. Within the base of the trough, a 70-80-kt west-northwesterly midlevel jet will
Official

SPC Apr 9, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 AM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible across portions of the Midwest, the Upper Midwest, and the northern High Plains, though severe storms are not expected. ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough in the northern Plains early this morning will move southeastward into the mid-Mississippi Valley and undergo modest amplification. A weak surface low will move swiftly southeastward along with the trough. A warm front will be positioned within parts of the Upper Midwest
Official

SPC Apr 8, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0246 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025 Valid 082000Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... While organized severe storms are unlikely, isolated strong storms may occur over far southern Florida and the Keys through early evening, and perhaps also across southeast Montana to the Black Hills. ...20z Update... No changes in forecast reasoning since the prior Outlook. The cold front will continue to spread south-southeastward across southern Florida, with thunderstorms increasingly relegated to the far southeast part of the Peninsula, Keys, and Florida
Official

SPC Apr 8, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY...MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND INTO THE MID-SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms capable of producing large hail and locally damaging gusts will be possible from the Lower Ohio River Valley to the Mid-Mississippi Valley and the Mid-South. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A mid-level trough will amplify across the eastern CONUS on Thursday with very cold mid-level temperatures (-22 to -26C at 500mb) expected from the Great
Official

SPC Apr 8, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible across portions of the Midwest, the Upper Midwest, and the northern High Plains, though severe storms are not expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A midlevel trough will amplify as it advances southeastward from the northern Plains into the Midwest on Wednesday, while a surface low will develop over Missouri and moves into the Lower Ohio Valley. A cold front will extend southwestward from this surface low
Official

SPC Apr 8, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025 Valid 111200Z - 161200Z ...DISCUSSION... On Day 4/Friday, an amplified large-scale trough will move slowly eastward across the Appalachians. Ahead of a related surface low in the lee of the Appalachians, weakly modified boundary-layer moisture will be in place across the coastal Mid-Atlantic states. While instability will be marginal, owing to the limited moisture and poor lapse rates, strong south-southwesterly midlevel flow may support a couple strong storms during the afternoon. The overall severe threat appears too marginal for severe
Official

SPC Apr 8, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms capable of producing large hail and locally damaging gusts will be possible across portions of the Tennessee Valley on Thursday afternoon and evening. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted large-scale trough and accompanying midlevel speed maximum will move southeastward from the Middle/Upper MS Valley to the southern Appalachians through the period. At the same time, a weak surface
Official

SPC Apr 8, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1219 AM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible across portions of the the Middle Mississippi Valley and northern High Plains, though severe storms are not expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A midlevel trough will amplify as it advances southeastward from the northern Plains into the Midwest, while a related surface low and southwestward-extending cold front overspread the Mid MS/OH Valleys. Despite limited boundary-layer moisture, steep midlevel lapse rates will yield sufficient instability (albeit weak)
Official

SPC Apr 8, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1215 AM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong storms may occur over far southern Florida and the Keys tonight into Wednesday morning, and from southeast Montana to the Black Hills. ...Synopsis... A positive-tilt trough in the western Gulf will slide eastward through the day. This trough will eventually reach the Florida Peninsula late tonight into Wednesday morning. In the West, an upper ridge will build with the strongest flow aloft situated over the Northwest