SPC Jan 9, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 AM CST Thu Jan 09 2025 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... A northwest mid-level flow pattern is forecast to remain in place over the central U.S. throughout the Day 4 to 8 period, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. The northwesterly flow will help to drive multiple fronts southward into the central and eastern U.S, which will keep a relatively cold and dry airmass in place. For this reason, conditions are not expected to be favorable for thunderstorm development across the
SPC – No watches are valid as of Thu Jan 9 09:43:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Thu Jan 9 09:43:02 UTC 2025.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Thu Jan 9 09:43:02 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Jan 9 09:43:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Jan 9, 2025 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 AM CST Thu Jan 09 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. on Saturday and Saturday night. ...DISCUSSION... On Saturday at mid-levels, a trough will move eastward to the Atlantic Seaboard as another trough moves through the Four Corners region. At the surface, a large area of high pressure will remain over the Southeast, as another strong cold front moves southward through the central states. A relatively cold and dry airmass will remain
SPC Jan 9, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Thu Jan 09 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms may develop on Friday across parts of the central Gulf Coast but no severe threat is expected. ...DISCUSSION... At mid-levels, a trough will move across the southern Plains on Friday as west-southwesterly flow remains in place across the Southeast. At the surface, a low and associated cold front will move eastward along the central Gulf Coast. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are expected to be
SPC Jan 9, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 PM CST Wed Jan 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through Friday morning. ...Synopsis... A large, positive-tilt upper trough will extend from the Four Corners into Baja CA early today, and will move eastward into the Plains through Friday morning. Strong southwest flow aloft will spread east across the southern Plains and into the lower MS Valley, with nearly 100 kt at 500 mb within the leading speed max. At the surface, a
SPC – No watches are valid as of Wed Jan 8 21:44:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Wed Jan 8 21:44:02 UTC 2025.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Wed Jan 8 21:44:02 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Jan 8 21:44:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Jan 8, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CST Wed Jan 08 2025 Valid 082000Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected, but very isolated thunderstorms are possible late tonight across parts of west Texas. ...20z Update... No changes are needed to the current D1 Convective Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton/Smtih.. 01/08/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1023 AM CST Wed Jan 08 2025/ ...Discussion... A deep midlevel cyclone will move east-southeastward across northwest Mexico through the period. Modest midlevel height falls preceding
SPC Jan 8, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1233 PM CST Wed Jan 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through Friday night. ...Central to eastern Gulf Coast... Thunder potential appears quite limited on Friday as poor to weak mid-level lapse rates persist downstream of a positive-tilt longwave trough. Buoyancy inland appears negligible, but meager MUCAPE over the north-central Gulf may be sufficient for a thin, low-topped convective line to shift east through the day from coastal southeast LA through the FL Panhandle.