Tag: jan.

Official

SPC Jan 18, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1235 AM CST Sat Jan 18 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY ACROSS CENTRAL FL... ...SUMMARY... Isolated wind damage and an isolated tornado will be possible during the day across central Florida. ...Central FL during the day Sunday... Within a large-scale trough over much of the CONUS, an embedded mid-upper jet streak will move over the Southeast and off the Atlantic coast, as an associated surface cold front progresses southeastward across the FL peninsula during
Official

SPC Jan 18, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1116 PM CST Fri Jan 17 2025 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY INTO TONIGHT ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE VICINITY INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA AND THE WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL AREAS...ADJACENT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Strong thunderstorms may impact parts of the eastern Gulf Coast vicinity today through tonight, and pose some risk for locally damaging wind gusts and perhaps a tornado or two. ...Synopsis... Amplification of the mid/upper flow continues across the
Official

SPC Jan 17, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1117 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2025 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms may occur over parts of the Southeast on Saturday. Severe thunderstorm potential is forecast to remain low. ...Northern Florida/Florida Panhandle... A large upper-level trough will amplify through the period on Saturday with eventual phasing of the southern stream and polar jet across the Southeast by 12Z Sunday. Low-level flow will be mostly weak through the day Saturday which will keep better low-level moisture offshore. Saturday night
Official

SPC Jan 17, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1028 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2025 Valid 171630Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible from eastern Oklahoma into the Lower Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys and central Gulf Coast region this afternoon into early Saturday morning. ...Synopsis... Satellite imagery shows a well-defined shortwave trough moving through the southern High Plains, with another shortwave visible farther southwest in the vicinity of the northern Baja Peninsula. An extensive fetch of westerly/southwesterly flow aloft exists throughout the bases of these waves, extending from the
Official

SPC Jan 17, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1120 PM CST Thu Jan 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible across the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and central Gulf Coast region Friday night into early Saturday morning. ...Discussion... 500mb low is currently located along the CA/Baja Peninsula border, shearing east in line with latest model guidance. Associated mid-level speed max is forecast to translate across northern Mexico, early in the period, before advancing into the lower MS Valley by 18/06z. As this feature
Official

SPC Jan 17, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0645 PM CST Thu Jan 16 2025 Valid 170100Z - 171200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected tonight. ...01z Update... Thunderstorm potential is low tonight as deep convection remains suppressed across the southeastern Gulf Basin early this evening. Low-level warm advection is forecast to strengthen across the FL Keys late in the period, but thunderstorm activity should remain west of the southern tip of FL through sunrise. ..Darrow.. 01/17/2025 Read more