Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, May 31st, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms continue across the Florida Peninsula along and ahead of a late season “cold” front (70-90% chance of rain). The interaction between the daily afternoon sea breeze and advancing front will promote strong to severe thunderstorm development this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across portions of Central and South Florida; strong wind gusts (45-60 mph), frequent lightning, and downpours possible. Heavy rainfall rates will accompany the stronger
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, May 30th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms expected across the Sunshine State once again today (45-70% chance of rain). Thunderstorms maximize in coverage and intensity this afternoon hours as a late season "cold" front interacts with the daily sea breeze. Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather outlooked for North and Central Florida; however, any thunderstorm will be capable of producing gusty winds (45-60 mph), frequent lightning, instances of hail, and heavy downpours. Locally heavy downpours may accompany thunderstorms and lead to areas of
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, May 29th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms along the Florida Panhandle will advance eastward through the day (70-90% chance of rain). Strong to locally severe thunderstorms possible for North and Central Florida; the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather . Thunderstorms will produce very heavy rainfall rates ; instances of flash flooding and ponding water expected for Florida Panhandle communities as multiple rounds of thunderstorm activity trains across the region. Radar and computer model trends this
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, May 28th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Remnants of a thunderstorm complex are currently moving along the Panhandle coast, and will continue to move offshore throughout the morning hours. As the complex moves offshore, shower and thunderstorm activity will become sparse and remain limited to the sea breeze this afternoon and evening along the I-10 corridor (25-50% chance of rain). The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across the I-10 corridor as upper-level support may allow for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms late
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, May 27, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A typical summertime pattern can be expected as showers and thunderstorms will develop along the sea breeze this afternoon, especially throughout the interior Peninsula (50-70% chance of rain). Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible throughout the afternoon and evening. Slightly drier conditions across North Florida will limit shower and thunderstorm coverage, but a few showers and thunderstorms along the sea breeze may be possible. A thunderstorm complex will travel along the Gulf Coast and towards the Florida Panhandle throughout the afternoon and evening, bringing
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, May 26, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed this morning offshore along the Southwest Florida and Treasure Coast coastlines, but will dissipate before afternoon activity develops. A frontal boundary continues to linger over the Deep South, which will aid shower and thunderstorm development across North Florida this afternoon and evening as the sea breeze moves inland (15-35% chance of rain). Throughout the Peninsula, the typical sea breeze thunderstorm pattern will develop as the sea breeze boundaries move inland then collide with one another created producing scattered to numerous
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, May 25, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A few pop-up showers and embedded thunderstorms have developed this morning along the western Panhandle and will likely continue to pop-up throughout the day. Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop around midday and throughout the rest of the daytime hours across North Florida (25-35% chance of rain). typical sea breeze thunderstorm pattern will develop this afternoon bringing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms throughout the Peninsula (45-75% chance of rain). Plenty of daytime heating will allow for some of these thunderstorms to become
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, May 24th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A weak area of high pressure situated over the eastern Gulf will once again promote cloud-free skies across North Florida and elevated rain chances in the Florida Peninsula (50-80%). Periods of southerly flow may provide just moisture across North Florida for a thunderstorm or two along the western Florida Panhandle to develop this afternoon (10-30% chance of rain). Thunderstorm coverage and intensity will maximize through the peak heating hours of the day, courtesy of the afternoon sea breeze; thunderstorms will likely become strong to severe
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, May 23rd, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A weak area of high pressure situated over the eastern Gulf will promote ample sunshine across North Florida and elevated rain chances south of the I-4 corridor (50-80% chance of rain). Coverage and intensity will maximize through the peak heating hours of the day, courtesy of the sea breeze; a few thunderstorms will likely become strong to severe this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather as thunderstorms will be capable of producing
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, May 22nd, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Rain chances shift southeastward to the Florida Peninsula today along and ahead of a weak cold front (40-60% chance of rain). Greatest concentration of shower and thunderstorm activity resides south of the I-4 corridor (60-70% chance of rain); activity to increase in coverage and intensity during the peak heating hours of the day. The interaction between the frontal boundary and the afternoon sea breeze will allow for a few strong to severe thunderstorms to develop over the interior and eastern Florida Peninsula later today.