
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, March 18, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: High pressure will settle in over the Sunshine State creating pleasant conditions with mostly sunny skies and a near-zero chance of rain. Sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions will also continue nearly statewide as relative humidity values will fall below critical thresholds this afternoon (20-30%) . Compared to yesterday, winds will be slightly calmer gusting upwards of 10-15 mph, with stronger wind gusts upwards of 20 mph along portions of the East Coast, this afternoon. Red Flag conditions are not expected. Recent rainfall across the Panhandle

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, March 17th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: In the wake of very active weather, a dormant weather pattern is expected across the Sunshine State today. Lingering showers and embedded thunderstorms continue to move off the Southeast Florida coastline this morning (20-30% chance of rain), with clearing skies anticipated by the afternoon hours as the cold front reaches the adjacent Atlantic waters. Breezy northwesterly winds will funnel a cooler and drier airmass across the state, with sustained winds of 10-20 mph statewide. Moderate to strong wind gusts can be expected during the daytime

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, March 16th, 2025.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: The greatest rain chances will reside across the Florida Big Bend, Suwannee River Valley, and Northeast Florida through the morning hours (80-near100%), gradually spreading southeastward to the I-4 corridor this afternoon and evening (60-80% chance of rain) as a broken line of shower and thunderstorms continue to advance eastward ahead and along a cold front. Thunderstorms may become strong to severe at times, especially with the assistance of daytime heating, and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) maintains a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, March 15, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Mostly dry conditions statewide through the afternoon and along the Peninsula and Keys this evening and tonight (near 0-20% chance of rain). A broken squall line of severe thunderstorms ( Enhanced to Moderate Risk for Severe Weather – level 3-4 of 5 ) is forecast to push across the Florida Panhandle from west to east tonight into Sunday morning along and ahead of a cold front (60-near 100% chance of rain). Discrete supercell activity may be possible ahead of the primary squall line. Significant severe weather-related

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, March 14, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Mostly dry conditions statewide today under lingering high pressure (near 0-10% chance of rain). High temperatures in the middle 70s to middle 80s statewide. Southerly winds to increase along the Florida Panhandle today, reaching near 5-15 mph with gusts upwards of 15-25 mph ; winds near 5-10 mph with gusts near 10-15 mph elsewhere. Lingering dry air along portions of the Peninsula will continue to create sensitive wildfire conditions this afternoon. Moderate risk for rip currents along the Florida Panhandle and East Coast; likely increasing to a

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for March 13th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A mid-level disturbance will move from the Mid-South this morning, through the Florida Panhandle today, and then east towards Florida’s East Coast tonight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop and move eastward along the Florida Panhandle this afternoon (30-70% chance of rain). Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across the interior Panhandle and Northwestern Big Bend; Frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-60 mph), and hail (up to quarter-size), and locally heavy downpours possible; An isolated brief tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Flooding

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, March 12th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Patchy fog this morning will continue to lift and dissipate as the sun rises along portions of the Gulf Coast. High pressure will continue to persist over the Sunshine State bringing mostly sunny and dry conditions throughout the day (near 0% chance of rain). Ongoing dry conditions will allow for relative humidity values across the interior Peninsula to fall near and below critical thresholds (25-40%) this afternoon leading to sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions. High temperatures will warm up into the 70s and lower 80s

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, March 11, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Instances of fog this morning throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend will gradually lift and dissipate as the sun continues to rise. After a few active weather days, mostly sunny and dry conditions return across the Sunshine State as high pressure settles in over the Gulf Coast states (near 0% chance of rain). Lingering breezy wind gusts upwards of 20 mph will continue throughout the day across the Peninsula, especially the eastern Peninsula. Much drier conditions returning will allow for relative humidity values to fall near

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, March 10, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A frontal system will continue to move northeastward from the Big Bend and towards the southwestern Atlantic waters throughout the day keeping the active weather pattern in place throughout much of the state. Showers and thunderstorms ahead of and along a cold front associated with the system will continue to push southward throughout the day from Northeast Florida through the Peninsula (70-95% chance of rain). The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather from the northern Peninsula through

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, March 9, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Instances of patchy to dense fog will continue to lift and dissipate this morning across interior portions of the Peninsula. A surface low pressure will continue to develop along the Gulf Coast and begin to move eastward and parallel along the coastline towards the Florida Panhandle and a draped frontal boundary near the state line throughout the day. Abundant moisture will continue to be pulled northward throughout the day creating scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms throughout North Florida (65-90% chance of rain). The Storm Prediction