
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, May 11th, 2025
Morning Situation ReportFlorida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: The active and unsettled weather pattern will continue today across the Sunshine State with multiple rounds of widespread shower and thunderstorm activity. An upper-level disturbance will continue to bring scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms onshore across the Panhandle and West Coast throughout the day (60-95% chance of rain). Throughout the rest of the Peninsula, daily sea breeze shower and thunderstorm activity will be enhanced by the nearby disturbance also leading to scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms (65-90% chance of rain).

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, May 10th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Active and unsettled weather pattern will bring a multi-day period of heavy rainfall and isolated strong to severe thunderstorms throughout North and Central Florida. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is now outlooking a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for Severe Weather along central portions of the Florida Panhandle, with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) extending south through the I-4 corridor. Primary concerns will be locally damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph), frequent lightning, isolated hail, and heavy rainfall rates; localized greater threat

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, May 9th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Today will start to transition to a stormier pattern as an upper-level low digs southwards and develop over the Gulf, sending waves of scattered showers and thunderstorms across the state (45-85% chance of rain). Additional showers and thunderstorms can be expected to develop with the sea breezes this afternoon and evening, primarily along the Peninsula. Drier conditions will persist across South Florida as drier air lingers, allowing for only isolated shower activity with a few thunderstorms possible (10-30% chance of rain). A few strong to

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, May 8th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A wet weather pattern continues to develop today as the persistent frontal boundary remains near or over North Florida, allowing for moisture to continue filtering in over the state from the Gulf. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected across much of the state today (55-75% chance of rain). Northern portions of the state will likely see the first showers and embedded thunderstorms begin this morning, while activity further southward into the Peninsula will likely develop a little later in the day, primarily during the afternoon hours

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, May 7th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: An active weather pattern will continue across the Panhandle today with rounds of scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms as a warm front shifts across the Gulf Coast and the Panhandle (45-75% chance of rain). Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening along the western Panhandle, and these thunderstorms may bring frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), an isolated tornado or two and locally heavy rainfall - Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather. Plenty of moisture

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, May 6th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A more active weather pattern will develop along the Panhandle beginning today as a warm front lifts northward from the gulf waters bringing scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms later in the day (20-45% chance of rain). Throughout the Peninsula, the typical sea breeze thunderstorm pattern will develop this afternoon and evening as the sea breeze boundaries collide with one another (25-60% chance of rain). The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather along the interior Peninsula from East-Central

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, May 5th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Areas of fog will dissipate leading to mostly dry conditions across the state during the morning hours as a frontal boundary shifts over and stalls over the I-4 corridor. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop across the eastern Peninsula this afternoon as moisture pools ahead of the front and the sea breeze moves inland (40-70% chance of rain). Embedded within shower and thunderstorm activity may be isolated strong to severe thunderstorms across East-Central and Southeast Florida - Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, May 4, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Patchy to scattered dense fog has developed this morning across the Big Bend, and a Dense Fog Advisory remains in effect through the mid-morning hours due to reduced visibility. The active weather pattern will continue across the Peninsula today as scattered to numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms move across the Peninsula ahead of a cold front (50-75% chance of rain). With the help of daytime heating and the sea breeze developing, isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening from the I-75

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, May 3rd, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A broken line of scattered showers and thunderstorms along and ahead of a cold front will continue to slowly push eastward through the Panhandle today and through the Big Bend late today into tonight (60-90% chance of rain). Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected elsewhere across the state today and tonight (25-50% chance of rain). a few strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across the Florida Panhandle; a few strong to severe

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, May 2nd, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms developing with the sea breezes this afternoon and evening (5-25% chance of rain). Scattered showers and thunderstorms may begin to move into the Panhandle overnight into early Saturday morning as a weak cold front approaches (15-35% chance of rain). A few strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts, hail, and locally heavy downpours may be possible along the Panhandle ( Marginal Risk for Severe Weather - level 1 of 5 ). Isolated instances of