Tag: outlook

Official

SPC May 25, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0749 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN COLORADO AND ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF STATES... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to focus across parts of the southern Plains tonight. Damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes are all possible. Isolated severe storms are also possible across the central High Plains and parts of the
Official

SPC May 24, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0742 AM CDT Sat May 24 2025 Valid 241300Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms should occur across parts of the southern Plains to the Southeast today. Damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes are all possible. Isolated very large hail greater than 2 inches in diameter may also occur across the southern Plains. ...Southern/Central Plains to the Southeast... Aided by a 30-40
Official

SPC May 24, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Fri May 23 2025 Valid 240100Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to spread across the central High Plains into the southern Plains later tonight. Large hail and severe wind gusts remain the main threats. ...01z Update... Earlier thoughts regarding severe tonight continue. Over the last few hours, several supercells have matured over the central High Plains, from the
Official

SPC May 23, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 AM CDT Fri May 23 2025 Valid 231300Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms should develop across parts of the southern and central Plains this afternoon through the overnight hours, with large hail and severe gusts the main threats. Isolated very large hail greater than 2 inches in diameter may occur. ...Central/Southern Plains... In the wake of overnight/early morning convection across parts of central/south TX, low-level airmass recovery
Official

SPC May 23, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025 Valid 230100Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Large hail and damaging winds remain possible this evening across parts of northwest into north central Texas. ...01z Update... Loosely organized cluster of thunderstorms is propagating southeast across northwest TX. This activity will continue drifting southeast, within modestly strong northwesterly flow that extends across the southern Plains. Water-vapor imagery suggests a weak short-wave trough may be associated
Official

SPC May 22, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0737 AM CDT Thu May 22 2025 Valid 221300Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are possible across parts of the southern Plains this afternoon and evening. Large hail is the main threat, along with severe gusts. A few instances of 2+ inch diameter hail are possible. ...Southern Plains... Weak short-wave ridging will shift into the central High Plains later today and mid-level heights are forecast to rise from the
Official

SPC May 22, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Wed May 21 2025 Valid 220100Z - 221200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE OZARKS REGION... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in the Ozarks region this evening. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery suggests a weak short-wave trough is digging southeast across NE/KS. Large-scale ascent ahead of this feature appears to be aiding weak elevated convection immediately downstream across northern KS. Over the last half hour or so, thickening cu field is noted across southwest MO
Official

SPC May 21, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0718 AM CDT Wed May 21 2025 Valid 211300Z - 221200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE OZARKS TO MID-SOUTH AND FAR EASTERN NC... ...SUMMARY... The most likely corridors for severe storms are across parts of far eastern North Carolina this afternoon, and the Ozarks into the Mid-South this evening. ...Eastern NC and southern VA... Morning surface analysis places a low over the Piedmont with a reservoir of lower 70s dewpoints over the coastal plain of eastern NC to the south
Official

SPC May 21, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 210100Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN TN...NORTHERN/CENTRAL AL AND NORTHWEST GA... ...SUMMARY... The greatest severe risk should persist this evening across eastern Tennessee, northern to central Alabama, and northwest Georgia. A few tornadoes and scattered damaging winds are likely, along with isolated large hail. ...Lower MS Valley to the Cumberland Plateau into GA and the Carolinas... A scattered to broken swath of mixed discrete supercells, clusters, and line segments is
Official

SPC May 20, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1115 AM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 201630Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FROM EASTERN ARKANSAS INTO MUCH OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... ...SUMMARY... Multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms are expected today through this evening, centered on the Mid/Deep South, Tennessee/Lower Ohio Valleys, and Cumberland Plateau. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong, along with scattered to widespread damaging winds, and large to isolated significant severe hail will be possible. ...KY/TN... Thunderstorms