SPC May 11, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 AM CDT Sun May 11 2025 Valid 111300Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND MONTANA HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe wind gusts are expected across the northern Rockies to Montana High Plains fom mid-afternoon into the evening. Isolated severe thunderstorms are also possible across the Southeast today through tonight. ...Northern Rockies/High Plains and northeast Great Basin... The leading portion of an eastward-transitioning upper-level trough will overspread the northern Rockies and northern Great Basin later today
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 10 at 11:54AM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK
ESFAFG ..Middle Yukon River Breakup Status... The river is open from the Nowitna through Galena with the exception of a small (
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 10 at 3:51PM MDT by NWS Albuquerque NM
ESFABQ Risk of areal flooding and elevated stream flows from rapid snowmelt ...EXISTING CONDITIONS... Recent storms have brought several inches of snow to mid to high elevations (8500'->10500')over the Sangre de Cristo, Jemez and Tusas mountains throughout north central New Mexico. This snow pack contains on average 2-4 inches of liquid equivalent. With warming temperatures expected over the next 48 hours, these regions are vulnerable to flooding from rapid snowmelt. ...Temperatures... There is a greater than 50% chance of temperatures greater than 68-70 degrees over the snowpack. These temperatures along with the relatively high sun angle observed in mid may
SPC May 11, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0748 PM CDT Sat May 10 2025 Valid 110100Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe gusts may persist this evening over parts of the northern Rockies. A brief tornado or two, along with locally damaging winds are possible across parts of the Southeast into Sunday morning. ...Southeast... Primary severe potential early tonight should be confined to near the slow-moving warm front across parts of south GA into far southern SC.
SPC May 10, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1123 AM CDT Sat May 10 2025 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms including a damaging wind and tornado risk may occur across parts of the Southeast, including northern Florida, southern Alabama and southern Georgia. Other thunderstorms with strong winds will be possible across the northern Rockies this afternoon and evening. ...Southeast including FL and far southeast AL/southern GA... Recent surface analysis places a low over the MOB vicinity
SPC May 10, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Sat May 10 2025 Valid 101300Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms including a damaging wind and tornado risk may occur across parts of the Southeast, including northern Florida, southern Alabama and southern Georgia. Other thunderstorms with strong winds will be possible across the northern Rockies this afternoon and evening. ...Southeast including FL and far southeast AL/southern GA... Multiple areas of strong storms are ongoing early this morning
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 9 at 4:57PM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO
ESFGJT Risk of areal flooding and elevated stream flows from rapid snowmelt ...OVERVIEW... Mid to high elevations (8500' to 10000') along the San Juan Mountains and along the Divide through central Colorado are susceptible to enhanced runoff and elevated stream flows from rapid snowmelt. ...TEMPERATURE... High temperatures will continue to run 5 to 10 degrees above normal through the weekend, with overnight lows remaining above freezing for mid to high elevations. This warming trend carries into Monday, resulting in highs climbing 10 to 15 degrees above normal. Said departure from normal increases from south to north. ...PRECIPITATION... Isolated to scattered
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 9 at 4:06PM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO
ESFGJT Risk of areal flooding and elevated stream flows from rapid snowmelt ...OVERVIEW... Mid to high elevations (8500' to 10000/) along the San Juan Mountains and along the Divide through central Colorado are susceptible to enhanced runoff and elevated stream flows from rapid snowmelt. ...TEMPERATURE... High temperatures will continue to run 5 to 10 degrees above normal through the weekend, with overnight lows remaining above freezing for mid to high elevations. This warming trend carries into Monday, resulting in highs climbing 10 to 15 degrees above normal. Said departure from normal temperatures increases from south to north. ...PRECIPITATION... Isolated to
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 9 at 10:24AM MDT by NWS Pueblo CO
ESFPUB Risk of enhanced runoff and elevated stream flows from rapid snowmelt ...EXISTING CONDITIONS... Recent storms have brought several inches of snow water equivalent to mid to high elevations (8500'->10500') over the eastern San Juan and Sangre de Cristo Mountains of south-central Colorado, and along the Continental Divide of central Colorado. With upcoming precipitation, warming temperatures, and possible rain-on-snow for mid to high elevations, this region of Colorado is vulnerable to enhanced runoff and elevated stream flows from rapid snowmelt. ...PRECIPITATION... There is a roughly 25% chance of 0.1" or more of liquid precipitation over much of the area of
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 9 at 3:07PM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK
ESFAFG As of Friday afternoon, ice and water continues to flow past Galena, even though there is still some in-place ice slowing it down above Pilot Mountain Slough. There are a few more short in-place sections of ice between Galena and Nulato that should not cause any significant jamming concerns. Below Nulato, the river ice remains in-place with signs of lifting and thermal degradation. The Yukon is open from Galena upstream to the Nowitna River with the exception of a small (