SPC May 6, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 060100Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF FAR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms, potentially with very large hail and wind gusts exceeding 70 mph, are expected this evening into tonight across parts of the southern High Plains. Isolated severe storms will also be possible in parts of the Mid Atlantic
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 5 at 9:38AM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL
ESFILX This hydrologic outlook includes the following river in Illinois: Embarras River... The following river information is based on future predicted rainfall. The exact amount, intensity, timing, and location of the rain that will occur is still uncertain. These outlook stages are provided to show what may be expected if the forecast precipitation occurs. Once there is more certainty about the river forecasts, a flood warning or statement will be issued if the threat materializes.
SPC May 5, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 AM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 051300Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND UPPER OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected across eastern New Mexico and west/central Texas this afternoon into tonight. Scattered large to very large hail and severe winds are the primary threats, though a couple of tornadoes also are possible. Additional strong to severe storms are
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 4 at 7:12PM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK
ESFAFG An ice jam above the mouth of the Fortymile River remains in place and is likely to continue eroding from the downstream side as water levels at Dawson are gradually increasing. The ice jam below Calico Bluff cleared overnight. Eagle and other locations along the Yukon that currently have open water can expect ice runs and rising water levels when this upstream jam releases. No flooding is expected at Eagle. This hydrologic outlook will expire at noon on May 5 and not be continued unless there is a change in the condition of the Canadian ice jam.
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 4 at 7:55AM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK
ESFAFG An ice jam above the mouth of the Fortymile River has remained in place and is likely to continue eroding from the downstream side as water levels at Dawson are gradually increasing. The ice jam below Calico Bluff cleared overnight. Eagle and other locations along the Yukon that currently have open water can expect ice runs and rising water levels as this upstream jam releases. No flooding is expected at Eagle.
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 4 at 10:52PM SST by NWS Pago Pago AS
ESFPPG A prolonged period of widespread showers is forecast to impact the Samoa region beginning Tuesday and continuing through Thursday, with rainfall intensity and coverage expected to increase significantly by Friday and into Saturday. An active trough causing this extended duration of rainfall raises the potential for localized and widespread flooding, particularly in low-lying and poor drainage areas. Peak impacts are anticipated Friday through Saturday, when the trough is most active. Rainfall totals over the event period may exceed thresholds for flash flooding, especially in areas that have already experienced saturated soil conditions in previous weeks. In addition, landslides will
SPC May 5, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun May 04 2025 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER OHIO RIVER VALLEY...PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS.... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will remain possible through the late evening hours across parts of southeast New Mexico and western Texas as well as across parts of the central Appalachians and parts of the Carolinas and southeast Virginia. ...Synopsis... An omega blocking pattern will continue to
SPC May 4, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 AM CDT Sun May 04 2025 Valid 041300Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe storms are expected across east-central and southeast New Mexico and far west Texas this afternoon and evening, with a threat for large hail, isolated severe wind gusts, and possibly a tornado. Other strong to locally severe storms are possible from Florida northward into the Mid-Atlantic and Allegheny Plateau. ...New Mexico/West Texas... In advance
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 3 at 10:43PM AKDT by NWS Anchorage AK
ESFAFC As of approximately 19:30 AKDT Saturday, McGrath ice started running. Water levels have risen but remain below the bank. Ice is very weak and disintegrating as it moves. McGrath has no flood concerns at this time. As of approximately 20:30 AKDT Saturday, Stony River has ice running past. Water levels have risen 3-4 ft and are expected to continue to rise. Residents are not expecting the water level to reach airstrip level. This ice run is more dense, with more water volume, a lot of wood, and running faster than Thursday night. This ice run is most likely ice
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 3 at 12:18PM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK
ESFAFG An ice jam above the mouth of the Fortymile River has remained in place since Thursday. With the cooler temperatures snowmelt contribution to the Yukon has not increased water levels at Dawson so this jam has been stable and will likely erode from the downstream side. In this scenario, Eagle and other locations along the Yukon that currently have open water can expect eventual ice runs accompanied by a significant rise in water levels as this jam releases and potentially adds to the current jam downstream of Calico Bluff.