Tag: outlook

Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued May 9 at 10:24AM MDT by NWS Pueblo CO

ESFPUB Risk of enhanced runoff and elevated stream flows from rapid snowmelt ...EXISTING CONDITIONS... Recent storms have brought several inches of snow water equivalent to mid to high elevations (8500'->10500') over the eastern San Juan and Sangre de Cristo Mountains of south-central Colorado, and along the Continental Divide of central Colorado. With upcoming precipitation, warming temperatures, and possible rain-on-snow for mid to high elevations, this region of Colorado is vulnerable to enhanced runoff and elevated stream flows from rapid snowmelt. ...PRECIPITATION... There is a roughly 25% chance of 0.1" or more of liquid precipitation over much of the area of
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued May 9 at 3:07PM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK

ESFAFG As of Friday afternoon, ice and water continues to flow past Galena, even though there is still some in-place ice slowing it down above Pilot Mountain Slough. There are a few more short in-place sections of ice between Galena and Nulato that should not cause any significant jamming concerns. Below Nulato, the river ice remains in-place with signs of lifting and thermal degradation. The Yukon is open from Galena upstream to the Nowitna River with the exception of a small (
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued May 9 at 3:05PM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK

ESFAFG As of Friday afternoon, ice and water continues to flow past Galena, even though there is still some in-place ice slowing it down above Pilot Mountain Slough. There are a few more short in-place sections of ice between Galena and Nulato that should not cause any significant jamming concerns. Below Nulato, the river ice remains in-place with signs of lifting and thermal degradation. The Yukon is open from Galena upstream to the Nowitna River with the exception of a small (
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued May 9 at 1:28PM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK

ESFAFG The Yukon River at Ft. Yukon broke up Tuesday with minor flooding. The breakup front remained stalled at 6 Mile Island below Ft. Yukon as of Thursday afternoon. Water levels remain low upriver. The ice between Fort Yukon and Beaver is slowly degrading, with water levels rising Wednesday night into Thursday at Beaver. Beaver is expected to slowly break up Friday through Sunday. The timing of the breakup front reaching Stevens Village and the Dalton Highway bridge could be anywhere from 1-5 days. This hydrologic outlook will expire at noon on May 10 and not be continued unless there
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued May 9 at 9:27AM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK

ESFAFG The Yukon River at Ft. Yukon broke up Tuesday with minor flooding. The breakup front remained stalled at 6 Mile Island below Ft. Yukon as of Thursday afternoon. Water levels remain low upriver. The ice between Fort Yukon and Beaver is slowly degrading, with water levels rising Wednesday night into Thursday at Beaver. Beaver is expected to slowly break up Friday through Sunday. The timing of the breakup front reaching Stevens Village and the Dalton Highway bridge could be anywhere from 1-5 days. This hydrologic outlook will expire at noon on May 10 and not be continued unless there
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued May 9 at 9:13AM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK

ESFAFG The Yukon River has broken up in Galena. Ice started running Thursday around 5 pm and has continued overnight. Reports indicate that moving ice has continued past Bishop's Rock and down to Nulato. Kokrines Bible Camp reported the river open and ice free on Thursday evening. The ice is quite rotten and moving smoothly with a water level rise of 7 ft accompanying the ice run. River Watch will be flying downriver from Galena to the breakup front today and then checking upstream to see how much ice has cleared out and will provide updates.
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued May 9 at 8:13AM MDT by NWS Albuquerque NM

ESFABQ Risk of areal flooding and elevated stream flows from rapid snowmelt ...EXISTING CONDITIONS... Recent storms have brought several inches of snow to mid to high elevations (8500'->10500')over the Sangre de Cristo, Jemez and Tusas mountains throughout north central New Mexico. This snow pack contains on average 3-5 inches of liquid equivalent. With upcoming light precipitation and warming temperatures, this region of New Mexico is vulnerable to flooding from rapid snowmelt. ...PRECIPITATION... There is a 30% chance of 0.25" of rainfall over much of the region of concern today (5/9) from noon to 7pm MDT. There is a 10% chance
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued May 9 at 7:43AM MDT by NWS Albuquerque NM

ESFABQ Risk of areal flooding and elevated stream flows from rapid snowmelt ...EXISTING CONDITIONS... Recent storms have brought several inches of snow to mid to high elevations (8500'->10500')over the Sangre de Cristo, Jemez and Tusas mountains throughout north central New Mexico. This snow pack contains on average 3-5 inches of liquid equivalent. With upcoming precipitation and warming temperatures, this region of New Mexico is vulnerable to flooding from rapid snowmelt. ...PRECIPITATION... There is a 50% chance of 0.5" of rainfall over much of the region of concern today (5/8) from noon to 7pm MDT. There is a 10% chance that
Official

SPC May 10, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0816 PM CDT Fri May 09 2025 Valid 100100Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE MOBILE BAY VICINITY... CORRECTED FOR THUNDER LINE ERROR ...SUMMARY... An isolated severe risk may develop tonight over portions of the northern Gulf Coast. ...Discussion... Water-vapor imagery this evening shows a split-flow regime over North America. A mid-level trough over the Mid-Atlantic states will move northeast to southern New England, while a slow-moving mid-level low meanders over the north
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued May 9 at 3:54PM MDT by NWS Billings MT

ESFBYZ Warm temperatures are forecast through early next week. This will enhance snowmelt across area mountains, resulting in a significant increase in flows on area rivers and streams by this weekend. While flooding is not anticipated on larger rivers and streams, there is a chance that some smaller streams could reach bankfull in and near the foothills, producing minor flooding. At the very least, stream flows will be much higher with the increased snowmelt. Water rises will occur first on small streams flowing out of the foothills, eventually arriving on larger rivers and streams. The rate and magnitude of the