Tag: outlook

Official

SPC May 5, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun May 04 2025 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER OHIO RIVER VALLEY...PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS.... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will remain possible through the late evening hours across parts of southeast New Mexico and western Texas as well as across parts of the central Appalachians and parts of the Carolinas and southeast Virginia. ...Synopsis... An omega blocking pattern will continue to
Official

SPC May 4, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 AM CDT Sun May 04 2025 Valid 041300Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe storms are expected across east-central and southeast New Mexico and far west Texas this afternoon and evening, with a threat for large hail, isolated severe wind gusts, and possibly a tornado. Other strong to locally severe storms are possible from Florida northward into the Mid-Atlantic and Allegheny Plateau. ...New Mexico/West Texas... In advance
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued May 3 at 10:43PM AKDT by NWS Anchorage AK

ESFAFC As of approximately 19:30 AKDT Saturday, McGrath ice started running. Water levels have risen but remain below the bank. Ice is very weak and disintegrating as it moves. McGrath has no flood concerns at this time. As of approximately 20:30 AKDT Saturday, Stony River has ice running past. Water levels have risen 3-4 ft and are expected to continue to rise. Residents are not expecting the water level to reach airstrip level. This ice run is more dense, with more water volume, a lot of wood, and running faster than Thursday night. This ice run is most likely ice
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued May 3 at 12:18PM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK

ESFAFG An ice jam above the mouth of the Fortymile River has remained in place since Thursday. With the cooler temperatures snowmelt contribution to the Yukon has not increased water levels at Dawson so this jam has been stable and will likely erode from the downstream side. In this scenario, Eagle and other locations along the Yukon that currently have open water can expect eventual ice runs accompanied by a significant rise in water levels as this jam releases and potentially adds to the current jam downstream of Calico Bluff.
Official

SPC May 4, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST AL...CENTRAL/NORTHERN GA...UPSTATE SC...AND ALSO FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe storms remain possible tonight from the Southeast into parts of the Mid Atlantic and Northeast. ...Southeast into the Mid Atlantic/Northeast... A cluster of strong to locally severe storms is moving across parts of central/south AL into north GA this evening, generally along and just ahead of a cold front.
Official

SPC May 3, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 AM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 031300Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS...MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon into evening from parts of the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. An isolated severe threat may develop across the Southeast, and also across parts of the Great Basin. ...Carolinas/Mid-Atlantic States to Southern New England... Thinking remains that the primary severe risk will focus today across parts of the
Official

SPC May 3, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large
Official

SPC May 2, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong thunderstorm development is expected from parts of central and eastern Texas to the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and into the Cumberland Plateau by evening. This includes potential for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley... A residual MCS, with diminished intensity since early on the
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued May 1 at 10:03PM AKDT by NWS Anchorage AK

ESFAFC As of 19:15 AKDT Thursday, ice began running past Stony River and water levels rose approximately 2 ft. As of 21:00 AKDT the ice continues to run and the water levels are steady. The River Watch team on Wednesday saw no intact ice until 8 miles upstream of the Tatlawitsuk River. River Watch also confirmed on Wednesday that the Tatlawitsuk, Swift, and Stony rivers were all free of ice. On Thursday evening, local residents in Stony River assume this run is intact ice that was released between Devils Elbow and upstream of the Tatlawitsuk River. At this time, the
Official

SPC May 2, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0826 PM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF S CNTRL TX AND PARTS OF WRN/CNTRL PA...AND THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF SRN OK...NRN TX... CORRECTED HAIL GRAPHIC ...SUMMARY... Increasing strong to severe thunderstorm development is still expected tonight across parts of the south central Great Plains, mainly across the Texas Panhandle through the Red River vicinity, accompanied, primarily, by the potential for large hail and damaging wind