Tag: outlook

Official

SPC Apr 9, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025 Valid 092000Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms remain possible through tonight from parts of the northern/central Plains into the Midwest and Ohio Valley and eastern FL. Severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...20z Update... Only minor changes were made to the thunder areas across parts of NE and MT for the latest guidance and ongoing storms. Severe thunderstorms are unlikely, see the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/09/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1115 AM CDT Wed Apr
Official

SPC Apr 9, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0211 PM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.... ...SUMMARY... A couple strong to severe storms will be possible from the eastern Carolinas into southeast Virginia on Friday. Primary concerns will be isolated severe hail and locally damaging wind gusts. ...Discussion... A strong mid-level jet streak will round the base of the trough on Friday morning resulting in a deepening, negatively tilted mid-level shortwave trough across the
Official

SPC Apr 9, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1210 PM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO NORTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms capable of producing large hail and damaging gusts will be possible across portions of the Mid/Deep South and Tennessee Valley on Thursday. ...Synopsis... On Thursday, an elongated, strong mid-level jet streak across the central Plains will help amplify the trough across the eastern CONUS. Very cold mid-level temperatures (-25 to -26C at 500mb)
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued April 9 at 1:10PM PDT by NWS Elko NV

ESFLKN Near record warmth is expected in portions of Northern and Central Nevada thru the end of the week. This will accelerate snowmelt and enhance runoff into area creeks and rivers. Creeks and rivers that are susceptible to rapid water level rises will be most impacted. Waterways affected include, but are not limited to, Martin Creek in Humboldt County, the Owyhee River in Elko County, the Bruneau River in Elko County, and Salmon Falls Creek in Elko County. Wildhorse Dam is expected to reach Action stage (9.0 feet and 6,205 feet, respectively) and Salmon Falls Creek is expected to rise
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued April 9 at 12:52AM PDT by NWS Elko NV

ESFLKN Near record warmth is expected in portions of Northern and Central Nevada thru the end of the week. This will accelerate snowmelt and enhance runoff into area creeks and rivers. Creeks and rivers that are susceptible to rapid water level rises will be most impacted. Waterways affected include, but are not limited to Martin Creek in Humboldt County, the Owyhee River in Elko County, the Bruneau River in Elko County, and Salmon Falls Creek in Elko County. Salmon Falls Creek and Wildhorse Dam are expected to reach action stage (9.0 feet and 6,205 feet, respectively) by late this week.
Official

SPC Apr 9, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... From Day 5/Sunday through Day 6/Monday, a robust midlevel trough will advance eastward from the northern Plains to the Great Lakes. On Day 5/Sunday, a related broad/elongated surface low will move eastward across the northern/central Plains, while a dryline develops farther south over the southern Plains. Isolated strong storms may be possible ahead of the surface low in the Upper MS Valley, though poor boundary-layer moisture will tend to limit the severe risk. Farther south
Official

SPC Apr 9, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0216 AM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... A couple strong to severe storms will be possible across parts of eastern North Carolina on Friday. Primary concerns will be isolated severe hail and locally damaging wind gusts. ...Eastern North Carolina... Within the base of an amplified large-scale trough moving slowly eastward across the Appalachians, the left-exit region of a cyclonically curved midlevel jet streak will overspread the
Official

SPC Apr 9, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID/DEEP SOUTH AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms capable of producing large hail and damaging gusts will be possible across portions of the Mid/Deep South and Tennessee Valley. ...Synopsis... A positively tiled large-scale trough will advance southeastward from the Upper MS Valley/Midwest to the OH/TN Valleys through the period. Within the base of the trough, a 70-80-kt west-northwesterly midlevel jet will
Official

SPC Apr 9, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 AM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible across portions of the Midwest, the Upper Midwest, and the northern High Plains, though severe storms are not expected. ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough in the northern Plains early this morning will move southeastward into the mid-Mississippi Valley and undergo modest amplification. A weak surface low will move swiftly southeastward along with the trough. A warm front will be positioned within parts of the Upper Midwest
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued April 8 at 2:00PM MDT by NWS Riverton WY

ESFRIW Temperatures are forecast to climb Thursday through Saturday, which will melt low elevation and foothill snow in far west Wyoming, specifically the Star Valley region. There is also potential for higher elevation snow to melt during this time. Current high temperatures are forecast to be in the 60s Thursday and Friday and around 60 on Saturday. Additionally, low temperatures Friday and Saturday mornings will struggle to drop below the mid-30s. These warm temperatures are around 15 degrees above normal and could result in significant melting of snow given a deep snowpack. As of Tuesday April 8th, a snow depth