Tag: outlook

Official

SPC Apr 7, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible across portions of the the Middle Mississippi Valley and northern High Plains, though severe storms are not expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Wednesday, an upper trough will dive southeastward from the northern Plains into the mid MS/OH Valleys, as an upper high builds over the West. High pressure will exist behind an exiting northeastern trough, and ahead of the Plains trough. As such, this system
Official

SPC Apr 7, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1236 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong storms may occur over far southern Florida and the Keys late Tuesday and into the overnight hours, and from southeast Montana to Black Hills. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A low-latitude shortwave trough will move east across the Gulf while a front sinks south across far southern FL. Modest heating may yield MUCAPE around 1000 J/kg over far southern FL, supporting daytime storms near and north of the
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued April 7 at 1:07PM PDT by NWS Elko NV

ESFLKN Near record warmth is expected in portions of Northern and Central Nevada during the middle to latter part of this week. This will accelerate the process of snowmelt and enhance runoff into area creeks and rivers. Creeks and rivers that are susceptible to rapid water level rises will be most impacted. Waterways affected include, but are not limited to Martin Creek in Humboldt County, the Owyhee River in Elko County, the Bruneau River in Elko County, and Salmon Falls Creek in Elko County. Salmon Falls Creek is expected to reach action stage (9.0 feet) late next week. Action stage
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued April 7 at 3:08AM PDT by NWS Elko NV

ESFLKN Near record warmth is expected in portions of Northern and Central Nevada during the middle to latter part of this week. This will accelerate the process of snowmelt and enhance runoff into area creeks and rivers. Creeks and rivers that are susceptible to rapid water level rises will be most impacted. Waterways affected include, but are not limited to Martin Creek in Humboldt County, the Owyhee River in Elko County, the Bruneau River in Elko County, and Salmon Falls Creek in Elko County. Salmon Falls Creek is expected to reach action stage (9.0 feet) late next week. Action stage
Official

SPC Apr 7, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0219 AM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible across portions of the the Middle Mississippi Valley and northern High Plains, though organized severe storms are not expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... An amplifying/intensifying midlevel trough will track southeastward from the northern Plains toward the Lower Ohio Valley through the period. A related surface cyclone will advance eastward from the central Plains to the Lower Great Lakes, while a trailing cold front moves eastward across
Official

SPC Apr 7, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 AM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE KEYS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms may occur over far southern Florida and the Keys on Tuesday afternoon into the overnight hours. ...Synopsis... A low-latitude midlevel trough will advance eastward across the Gulf during the day, and overspread the Florida Peninsula during the overnight hours. At the same time, a cold front will move southeastward across southern
Official

SPC Apr 7, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1243 AM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF NORTH FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms, some severe, are possible Monday afternoon across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Synopsis... A large upper-level trough will continue eastward from the Mississippi Valley into the East Coast by Tuesday morning. Some intensification of the mid-level jet is expected as it moves from the lower Mississippi Valley into the Mid-Atlantic. At
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued April 6 at 2:59AM PDT by NWS Elko NV

ESFLKN Near record warmth is expected in most of Northern and Central Nevada during the middle to latter part of this week. This will accelerate the process of snowmelt and enhance runoff into area creeks and rivers. Creeks and rivers that are susceptible to rapid water level rises will be most impacted. Waterways affected include, but are not limited to Martin Creek in Humboldt County, the Owyhee River in Elko County, the Bruneau River in Elko County, and Salmon Falls Creek in Elko County. Flooding is not expected at this time. Be that as it may, residents and outdoor enthusiasts
Official

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a
Official

SPC Apr 6, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0202 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE KEYS... ...SUMMARY... Marginally severe storms may occur Tuesday night over extreme southern Florida. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Tuesday, a deep upper trough will exist over the Great Lakes and Northeast, with a surface high spreading over much of the eastern CONUS and Gulf of America. To the south, a southern-stream wave will move across the Gulf and into