Tag: outlook

Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued March 31 at 3:16PM EDT by NWS Grand Rapids MI

ESFGRR Soils are getting saturated and water levels on some of our rivers continue to rise after several recent rainstorms. The next chance for heavy rain moves into our area on Wednesday, bringing the potential for an inch or more of rain to most of Southern Lower Michigan. This could result in some flooding issues both during the storms and also later this week as the water moves into and through the river systems. The good news is that water levels are currently near or slightly below average on the Grand and Kalamazoo rivers, but some of the tributaries -
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued April 1 at 5:40AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana

ESFIWX Showers and thunderstorms may bring some locally heavy rainfall Wednesday night, especially for areas roughly along and east of the Interstate 69 corridor. Additional rounds of rain are expected at times from Friday into the weekend across northeast Indiana and northwest Ohio. Early indications suggest there is a potential for total rainfall amounts in the 2 to 5 inch range from Wednesday through the weekend across much of the Upper Wabash and Maumee river basins across northeast Indiana and northwest Ohio. Runoff from this rainfall over the next several days will lead to likely rises on area rivers along
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued April 1 at 11:20AM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL

ESFILX This hydrologic outlook includes the following river in Illinois: Embarras River... The following river information is based on future predicted rainfall. The exact amount, intensity, timing, and location of the rain that will occur is still uncertain. These outlook stages are provided to show what may be expected if the forecast precipitation occurs. Once there is more certainty about the river forecasts, a flood warning or statement will be issued if the threat materializes.
Official

SPC Apr 1, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM MUCH OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY TO THE MID MS AND OH VALLEYS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... A broad area of strong to severe storms is expected along a frontal zone from the ArkLaTex, Mid MS Valley to the OH/TN Valleys and the Mid Atlantic. Damaging gusts and hail are the primary risks, though a few tornadoes are possible. ...Synopsis... An elongated frontal zone
Official

SPC Apr 1, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO THE OH/MID MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Numerous severe storms are likely Wednesday and Wednesday night across the Lower Great Lakes, Mid Mississippi Valley, and the ArkLaTex. Severe wind gusts, very large hail, and strong tornadoes are possible. ...Synopsis... A broad mid-level trough and powerful 100+ kt jet streak will move northeastward across the upper Midwest and Great Lakes regions Wednesday. Strong
Official

SPC Apr 1, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Rapid, intense thunderstorm development is possible this evening across parts of the central and southern Great Plains. A few supercells posing a risk for large hail and a couple of strong tornadoes are possible, particularly across parts of north central Oklahoma into south central Kansas. ...Discussion... Amplification of mid/upper flow across the
Official

SPC Mar 31, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO PARTS OF THE MID MS VALLEY AND ARKLATEX... ...SUMMARY... An outbreak of severe storms is possible Wednesday and Wednesday night across the Lower Great Lakes, Mid Mississippi Valley, and the ArkLaTex. Severe wind gusts, very large hail, and significant tornadoes are expected. ...Synopsis... No major changes have been made to the outlook, aside from tightening the gradient in severe probabilities across
Official

SPC Mar 31, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0115 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST... CORRECTED FOR TYPO ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are possible late Tuesday afternoon across the central and southern Plains, with the severe threat expected to spread eastward Tuesday night. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a few tornadoes are all possible. ...Central and Southern Plains into the Midwest... A somewhat complicated convective evolution
Official

SPC Mar 30, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO IA/MO/IL... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible by late Tuesday afternoon across the central and southern Plains, with the severe threat expected to spread eastward Tuesday night. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a few tornadoes are all possible. ...Synopsis... The Slight Risk area has been expanded southward across parts of the central and southern Plains, for
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued March 30 at 1:36PM EDT by NWS Indianapolis IN

ESFIND Multiple rounds of moderate to heavy rainfall over the next week will bring the potential for widespread flooding to central Indiana. Rainfall amounts of 1.5 to well over three inches are forecast for the next seven days from multiple systems passing through the Ohio valley. Rainfall with the storm systems this weekend will serve to saturate soils and raise river levels, and could result in the development of some minor lowland river flooding early in the week. Another mid-week system bringing heavy rainfall into these already saturated basins is likely to produce widespread minor river flooding and has the