Tag: outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0748 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible from the southern Great Plains to the Midwest. ...01z Update... Low-amplitude short-wave trough is ejecting across eastern KS/OK into extreme northern TX. A considerable amount of convection has evolved ahead of this feature, just ahead of the synoptic front this is now surging southeast across southeast KS-central OK-TX south Plains. Complex storm

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1213 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHWEST TO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND EASTERN MIDWEST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail and wind are possible from mid-afternoon Wednesday through early morning Thursday in parts of the Southwest. Isolated damaging winds and marginally severe hail may occur across the eastern Midwest from mid-afternoon to evening. ...Synopsis... A broad, positively tilted trough will dominate much of the weather pattern across the CONUS on Wednesday

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1127 AM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 031630Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from the southern Great Plains to the Midwest. Damaging winds and large hail are the primary concerns. ...Central/Southern Plains into the Midwest... Water-vapor imagery late this morning shows a mid-level shortwave trough over the central Great Plains, embedded within larger upper troughing centered over MT/WY and the Dakotas that

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0736 AM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 031300Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from the southern Great Plains to the Midwest. Damaging winds and large hail are the primary concerns. ...Central/Southern Plains into the Midwest... Recent satellite imagery shows a well-defined shortwave trough over eastern CO/northeastern NM, embedded within larger upper troughing that extends over much of the western and central CONUS.

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1236 AM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS GREAT PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from the southern Great Plains to the Midwest. Damaging winds and large hail are the primary concern. ...Great Plains to the Midwest... Large-scale pattern is not forecast to change appreciably during the day1 period with upper troughing forecast to persist across the northern Plains as a secondary upper low digs into the southwestern U.S. by

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 PM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS TO THE MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from the southern Great Plains to the Midwest, mainly from midday to mid-evening Tuesday. A couple tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail may occur. ...Synopsis... A southern-stream midlevel shortwave trough, initially over the central High Plains, will move northeastward into the Mid/Upper MS Valley while becoming absorbed into a broad large-scale

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are likely from the Texas Panhandle and northwest Oklahoma into western Kansas. Severe gusts 60-75 mph will be the primary hazard and localized gusts 75-90 mph are possible. ...Southern High Plains into KS... Visible-satellite imagery shows a potent mid-level shortwave trough over AZ, which is forecast to move east-northeastward into northeast NM

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0749 AM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO SOUTHWESTERN MN... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across the High Plains into southwestern Minnesota. Severe gusts and large hail are the expected hazards. ...Central High Plains to MN... Early morning satellite imagery depicts a northern-stream shortwave trough moving into western MT. Expectation is for this shortwave to continue eastward across MT and the northern Plains today

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS INTO SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across the High Plains into southwestern Minnesota. Severe gusts and large hail are the expected hazards. ...High Plains to southwestern MN... Strong northern-stream short-wave trough is currently located over southeastern BC into the northern inter mountain region. This feature is forecast to advance into eastern MT/WY by 03/00z as 60+kt 500mb flow translates