Tag: outlook

Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued March 4 at 6:36PM CST by NWS Green Bay WI

ESFGRB Mild temperatures through midweek may result in break up of river ice, leading to potential for ice jam flooding. In addition, rainfall amounts of 1 to 1.5 inches with local amounts up to 2 inches will occur from this afternoon through Wednesday, and most of this will run off into rivers, as there is deep frost in the ground. The combination of ice jams and heavy rain may lead to minor flooding of rivers and streams. Flooding could also occur in low-lying and poor drainage areas in central, northeast, and east-central Wisconsin, as well as urban areas. Ponding may
Official

SPC Mar 5, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0657 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TO SOUTHERN ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms with a threat for damaging winds and a few tornadoes will continue into the evening and overnight hours across portions of the Southeast. ...Southeast... A strongly forcing QLCS will continue to move across portions of southern MS/southeast LA and AL this evening, shifting east into the FL Panhandle and GA overnight. While instability will remain
Official

SPC Mar 4, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0657 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 041300Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHEASTERN TEXAS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms with a threat for tornadoes, damaging winds, and isolated hail are possible today from eastern portions of the southern Plains into the lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast. A couple strong tornadoes will be possible. ...North and East Texas and Oklahoma eastward to the southern Appalachians/Southeast... Water-vapor imagery shows
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued March 4 at 9:39AM CST by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO

ESFEAX A Hydrologic Outlook is no longer in effect for the... Stranger Creek at Easton Flooding which was previously forecast is not expected to occur because forecasted rainfall totals have been lowered. Stranger Creek at Easton is forecast to crest around a foot below flood stage on Wednesday evening. Additional weather and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued March 3 at 9:10PM CST by NWS Green Bay WI

ESFGRB Mild temperatures through midweek may result in break up of river ice, leading to potential for ice jam flooding. In addition, rainfall amounts of 1 to 1.5 inches will occur from Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday, and most of this will run off into rivers, as there is deep frost in the ground. The combination of ice jams and heavy rain may lead to minor flooding of rivers, ditches, and low lying urban areas in central, northeast and east central Wisconsin. Ponding may also occur on area roads, leading to hazardous travel conditions. Residents who live near rivers should watch
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued March 3 at 8:43PM CST by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO

ESFEAX Stranger Creek at Easton This hydrologic outlook is based on the forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours and estimated runoff from earlier rainfall. Crests may vary if actual rainfall or runoff is greater or less than anticipated. Location: Stranger Creek at Easton Flood stage: 17.0 feet Latest stage: 2.7 feet at 7 PM Monday Maximum Forecast Stage: 17.4 feet at 6 PM Wednesday Mar 05 Fld Obs Forecasts Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu 12am 12am 12am Stranger Creek Easton 17.0 2.7 Mon 7pm 2.8 6.5 17.0 Later statements, possibly warnings, may be issued as additional information
Official

Hydrologic Outlook issued March 3 at 1:32PM CST by NWS Chicago IL

ESFLOT A strong storm system will move through the region Tuesday into Wednesday leading to multiple waves of soaking rainfall. The highest rainfall rates are expected Tuesday morning and again Tuesday evening. Total rainfall amounts of at least 1 inch will be widespread by Wednesday morning, with amounts near 2 inches in isolated areas. Although soil moisture and river levels remain below average, soils across the area remain deeply frozen from recent periods of cold weather. The frost depth of 11 inches measured today at NWS Chicago is above average for this time of year, and may also contain elevated
Official

SPC Mar 4, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0658 PM CST Mon Mar 03 2025 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL OKLAHOMA SOUTHWARD INTO NORTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are forecast to develop across parts of the southern and central Plains this evening, and continue to increase overnight. A few tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, and large hail are all possible. ...Kansas/Oklahoma/Texas... Mid-level short-wave troughing -- on the southern periphery of a Four Corners area upper low -- will continue to shift eastward across the southern Rockies
Official

SPC Mar 3, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0646 AM CST Mon Mar 03 2025 Valid 031300Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS...MUCH OF OKLAHOMA...AND NORTH TEXAS.... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms should increase this evening and merge into a squall line tonight across portions of the southern Plains. Severe gusts, large hail, and a few tornadoes are possible. ...KS/OK/TX... A large and progressive upper low is tracking eastward this morning across the Great Basin. As this system and an associated 90-100
Official

SPC Mar 3, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 PM CST Sun Mar 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected for the remainder of the period. ...Discussion... Thunderstorms have weakened considerably across the western North Texas/western Oklahoma vicinity over the past couple of hours. Storms -- and the associated upper low -- will continue moving east of the primary axis of instability, which will support a continued decrease in convective intensity. Elsewhere, isolated thunderstorms will continue across portions of California and Nevada, but