Hydrologic Outlook issued May 28 at 3:50PM CDT by NWS Brownsville TX
ESFBRO The Brownsville Texas National Weather Service Office has implemented Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) for the Los Olmos Creek basin in Deep South Texas. AHPS enables the National Weather Service to provide long-range probabilistic outlooks. This service is also available on the internet. In the table below...the 90 through 10 percent columns indicate the chance the creek could rise above the listed stage levels in the next 90 days. Example: The Los Olmos Creek near Falfurrias has a flood stage of 11 feet. There is a 50 percent chance the Falfurrias forecast point will rise above 2.3 feet during
SPC May 29, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Wed May 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST CO...NORTHEAST NM...TX/OK PANHANDLES...SOUTHERN KS...WESTERN/CENTRAL OK...AND ALSO FOR CENTRAL TX... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe storms remain possible this evening across parts of the central and southern Plains. A more isolated severe threat may continue this evening across parts of the Southeast. ...KS/OK/TX Panhandle vicinity... Multiple clusters of storms are ongoing this evening from southeast CO/southwest KS into the TX/OK Panhandles. This convection is likely to
SPC May 28, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1237 PM CDT Wed May 28 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT FROM THE TEXAS-NEW MEXICO BORDER INTO CENTRAL TEXAS... CORRECTED FOR DAY REFERENCES ...SUMMARY... Large hail and damaging winds will be possible from the Texas-New Mexico border eastward into central Texas. ...TX late Thursday afternoon into Thursday night... A midlevel shortwave trough will move southeastward over the lower MO Valley/Ozarks, as an associated surface cold front likewise moves across
SPC May 28, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Wed May 28 2025 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS TO GULF COAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of producing large to very large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few tornadoes should occur today across parts of the southern/central Plains. Isolated wind damage may occur across portions of the Gulf Coast and Southeast. ...Eastern Colorado/Kansas to western Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles... A closed upper low over the northern Plains and Upper Midwest
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 27 at 12:12PM MDT by NWS Riverton WY
ESFRIW Showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop over Johnson County this afternoon and evening. Weather models depict a nearly stationary boundary, focused on the eastern foothills of the Bighorn Mountains. With precipitable water values in the 0.7 to 0.8 inch range, which is well above normal, it's worth watching this area for training storms and isolated flash flooding. There is a low chance for flooding in any given location, but the low-end potential is there today given the ingredients present. By midnight, thunderstorms and higher rainfall rates are forecast to end, but light rain lingers through sunrise Wednesday, with
SPC May 28, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1216 AM CDT Wed May 28 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES.... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of very large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few tornadoes are possible today across parts of the central and southern Plains. Isolated wind damage may occur across the Gulf coast/Southeast. ...CO/KS/OK... Evening water vapor loop shows a shortwave trough over southern Manitoba. This trough will track southward across the northern
SPC May 28, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0744 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH TEXAS...AND OVER PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible across parts of the southern Plains to the Southeast. Large hail and severe winds will be the main threats across western and southern portions of Texas, with damaging winds the primary concern across Alabama and Mississippi. ...Southwest TX... Clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are
SPC May 27, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO FAR SOUTHWEST KANSAS...AND FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS.... ...SUMMARY... Occasional large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible across the northern Texas Panhandle and vicinity, and across southwest Texas/southeast New Mexico. Isolated wind damage may occur across the Gulf coast/Southeast. ...Synopsis... Blocking will persist over the CONUS, with a midlevel trough
SPC May 27, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 271630Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across parts of the southern Plains to the Southeast. Large to very large hail and severe winds should be the main threats across western and southern portions of Texas, with damaging winds the primary concern across the Southeast. ...Southeast States... A modestly organized quasi-linear cluster persists at midday across east-central/southwest Alabama, with a trailing
Hydrologic Outlook issued May 26 at 8:25AM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK
ESFAFG A moderate to heavy run of ice on the Porcupine River will be passing Fort Yukon today. The heavy run of ice from Old Crow breaking up on Saturday morning was about 100 miles upstream from Fort Yukon as of 1pm Sunday. Water and ice levels with this run of ice are covering sand bars, but no significant water or ice has been seen overbank. Light runs of ice will continue through the week. The Porcupine River at Old Crow broke up Friday night and jammed just downstream from Old Crow causing moderate flooding before releasing Saturday morning. The