Hydrologic Outlook issued February 11 at 1:55PM CST by NWS Nashville TN
ESFOHX There is an increasing probability of widespread rainfall amounts of 3 inches or more from Friday night through Sunday. This could lead to flooding of rivers across Middle Tennessee. Some locations may even reach moderate flood stage. Here are the rivers where any location along the river has a chance to reach Action Stage, Minor Flood Stage, or Moderate Flood Stage over the weekend and into early next week: Buffalo River - 20% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage 40% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage 70% chance of reaching Action Stage Cumberland River Below Old Hickory Dam -
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 11 at 2:17PM CST by NWS Chicago IL
ESFLOT Favorable conditions for river ice development and possible ice jams are expected beginning Friday and continuing into the weekend, impacting the Rock, Fox, Des Plaines, and Kishwaukee river basins. Very cold temperatures are expected Thursday and Friday, with conditions becoming favorable for rapid formation of river ice on rivers and tributaries as early Thursday night into Friday. Ice jams will be possible in isolated areas along the Rock, Fox, Des Plaines, and Kishwaukee rivers. Despite a brief warm-up Saturday, most river ice will likely remain in place through early next week when another period of very cold temperatures arrives.
SPC Feb 12, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2025 Valid 120100Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTH TEXAS INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND FAR WESTERN LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible from south Texas into parts of the Texas-Louisiana border vicinity through tonight. ...TX into LA... Early evening surface analysis places a front across south Texas into the coastal shelf waters south of Galveston Bay and into south-central LA. Water-vapor imagery shows a mid-level shortwave trough moving quickly east
SPC Feb 11, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0647 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2025 Valid 111300Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND CENTRAL ALABAMA.... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible from the southern Plains into the lower Mississippi Valley. Some strong to severe thunderstorms are possible from southeast Texas and the Lower Mississippi Valley into southern Mississippi and central Alabama. ...Synopsis... A pair of shortwave troughs are expected to progress through the southern Plains today
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 10 at 3:52PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
ESFJKL Multiple surface lows are expected to impact eastern Kentucky beginning late tonight and continuing through late Thursday night. These systems will bring periods of rain, possibly moderate to heavy at times. At this time, between one and three inches of rainfall is forecast through Thursday night with locally higher amounts possible. With antecedent saturated soils and elevated stream levels from recent rainfall, significant rises on creeks and streams will be possible through the middle of the week. Minor flooding will be possible along the main stem of the Cumberland and Kentucky River Basins. An additional round of moderate to
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 10 at 4:31PM PST by NWS San Francisco CA
ESFMTR * WHAT...Unsettled weather is forecast to return to the region this week. The first round of rain is progged to impact areas mainly south of the Golden Gate Tuesday night into Wednesday. Rainfall amounts will range from 0.10"-0.25" over inland and valley locations to 0.25"-0.75" along the coastal mountain ranges. Highest precipitation is forecast over the Santa Cruz Mountains and Santa Lucia range. A stronger and significantly wetter system will move into the area Wednesday night into Thursday. Models agree that this system will pack a bigger punch with strong upper level jet support and ample moisture associated with
SPC Feb 11, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0653 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2025 Valid 110100Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected tonight. ...01z Update... 850mb flow is beginning to increase across northern TX into southeast OK, partially in response to a weak southern stream short-wave trough that is approaching this region. Latest model guidance suggests LLJ will strengthen into the late evening hours then veer into the Arklatex by 11/12z. The strongest corridor of low-level warm advection is currently noted from central OK into
SPC Feb 10, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0645 AM CST Mon Feb 10 2025 Valid 101300Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible from central Texas across southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas tonight. ...TX/OK/AR... Recent satellite imagery shows a well-defined shortwave trough off the southern CA/Baja CA coast. This feature is forecast to progress quickly east-northeastward throughout the day, traversing the Southwest/northern Mexico and reaching the southern Plains by tomorrow morning. Airmass ahead of this feature across the southern Plains is currently cool and dry, with the
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 9 at 2:00PM EST by NWS Morristown TN
ESFMRX Multiple storm systems will impact the area this week and next weekend with moderate to heavy rainfall. The first storm system will impact the area on Tuesday and Tuesday night with 1 to 3 inches of rainfall across the area. Uncertainty exists in where the heaviest rainfall will fall, but the highest probability for heavy rainfall will be across southeast Tennessee and southwest North Carolina. The second storm system will bring moderate to heavy rainfall to the area on Wednesday night into Thursday with 1 to 3 inches of rain. There is higher certainty in the heaviest rainfall being
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 9 at 4:35PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
ESFJKL Multiple surface lows are expected to impact eastern Kentucky beginning late Monday night and continuing through late Thursday night. These systems will bring periods of rain, possibly moderate to heavy at times. At this time, between one and nearly four inches of rainfall is forecast through Thursday night with locally higher amounts possible. With antecedent saturated soils and elevated stream levels from recent rainfall, decent to significant rises on creeks and streams will be possible through Thursday night. The larger rivers will then likely see significant rises or minor flooding Friday into Saturday. At this time, the Cumberland, Kentucky