Tag: outlook

Official

SPC Jan 24, 2025 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CST Fri Jan 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Sunday into Sunday night from the Texas Coastal Plain into the lower Mississippi Valley, but no severe threat is expected. ...DISCUSSION... Westerly mid-level flow will be in place across the southeastern U.S. on Sunday. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move to the western Gulf Coast. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will remain mostly offshore
Official

SPC Jan 24, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CST Fri Jan 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible in parts of central and east Texas Saturday night. ...DISCUSSION... West to west-southwest mid-level flow will be in place across the southern U.S from Saturday into Saturday night. Beneath this flow, a belt of strong low-level flow will be in place across parts of central and east Texas. In response, low-level moisture return is forecast to take place across parts of
Official

SPC Jan 23, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0148 PM CST Thu Jan 23 2025 Valid 232000Z - 241200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the continental U.S. through the remainder of today or into tonight. ...20z Update... No changes were made to the prior outlook. Broad high pressure over the central US will continue to favor cool, dry and stable conditions behind a cold front. This will negate thunderstorm potential. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 01/23/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1013 AM CST Thu Jan 23
Official

SPC Jan 23, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0112 PM CST Thu Jan 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not forecast for Saturday. ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will build over the southern/central Rockies and adjacent Plains as an upper trough continues to deepen across the Pacific Coast vicinity. As this occurs, a surface low will move across northern Mexico. Resulting south/southeasterly low-level flow across the western Gulf will transport moisture northward across portions of southern and southeastern TX. Within this warm advection regime, weak elevated
Official

SPC Jan 23, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0217 AM CST Thu Jan 23 2025 Valid 261200Z - 311200Z ...DISCUSSION... A large upper trough will remain over eastern Canada for much of the Day 4-8 period, with the southern extent of the colder air aloft affecting the area from the Great Lakes into the Northeast. Detached from this feature will be a lower-latitude upper low which is forecast to drop south across CA on Sunday/D4, and pivot east into AZ through Monday/D5. For the following days through Thursday/D8, this low will gradually shift east toward
Official

SPC Jan 22, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 PM CST Wed Jan 22 2025 Valid 222000Z - 231200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. through tonight. ...20z Update... No changes were made to the valid outlook. High pressure is supporting cold and dry conditions over much of the eastern and western US. Offshore flow over the eastern seaboard and Gulf Coast will preclude thunderstorm development. See the prior outlook for additional information. ..Lyons.. 01/22/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025/
Official

SPC Jan 22, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0109 PM CST Wed Jan 22 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast for Friday. ...Synopsis... Expansive surface high pressure and cold temperatures are forecast across much of the CONUS. Continental trajectories will remain offshore, resulting in a dearth of boundary layer moisture and instability. As a result, thunderstorms are not expected through early Saturday morning. ..Leitman.. 01/22/2025 Read more
Official

SPC Jan 22, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025 Valid 251200Z - 301200Z ...DISCUSSION... On Saturday/D4, an upper trough will be exiting the Northeast early, with temporary zonal flow across much of the central and eastern states. The large-scale upper low by this time will be located around Hudson Bay, with a low-amplitude feature possibly rotating eastward across the Great Lakes. To the west, an upper trough and/or cut-off low will drift southward across CA and NV, as upper ridging develops north of there across southern BC and the
Official

SPC Jan 22, 2025 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0125 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast for Friday. ...Synopsis... On Friday, an upper trough will extend from the Great Lakes southwestward into TX, with strong southwest flow aloft from across the Southeast. This trough will be progressive and move off the East Coast by early Saturday, allowing for rising heights/warming aloft across much of the CONUS. Meanwhile, another upper trough will develop southward into parts of the northwestern states. At the
Official

SPC Jan 22, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1147 PM CST Tue Jan 21 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A cool and stable pattern will persist on Thursday across the CONUS, with a sprawling area of high pressure stretching from the Great Basin to the East Coast. An elongated, positive-tilt upper trough will extend from Quebec southwestward across the Great Lakes and into the southern High Plains by 00Z, and will move toward the MS Valley into Friday morning. Given high