
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, May 17th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: High pressure remaining centered over the state will keep the weather dry and unseasonably warm statewide again today. Feels-like temperatures will be able to reach the middle and upper 90s by the mid-afternoon hours statewide. A few inland locations could exceed the 100 degree mark for heat index. This places nearly the entire state in a “moderate” risk for heat-related illnesses for those outside without protective measures. Patchy to locally dense fog could develop by early Sunday morning across North Florida and the Florida Panhandle. Locally sensitive wildfire conditions

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for May 16th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: High pressure will remain in control of the weather over the Eastern Gulf extending into the Florida Peninsula today. This will keep the weather dry statewide, with unseasonably warm temperatures. Locally sensitive wildfire conditions will develop across interior Northeast Florida as relative humidity values fall near critical thresholds over drying grounds and soils. Occasional wind gusts this afternoon out of the west at 10 to 15 mph are expected across North Florida. A high risk of rip currents is expected along the Florida Panhandle Beaches from Walton County eastward

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, May 15th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Warm and dry conditions will continue across the Sunshine State today as high pressure remains in place along the eastern gulf waters. A near-zero chance of rain can be expected statewide with plenty of sunshine throughout the daytime hours. As drier conditions and temperatures increase, locally sensitive wildfire conditions may return across portions of Northeast Florida and the interior Peninsula. Wind gusts across North Florida will reach upwards 10-15 mph by the late afternoon hours, with stronger wind gusts upwards of 20 mph in some

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, May 14, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: After an active weather pattern the last few days, dry conditions will return to the Sunshine State as high pressure moves over the eastern gulf waters. Plenty of sunshine with some cloud cover mixed in can be expected across the state throughout the day. Spotty brief showers in areas of localized pockets of moisture across the central Peninsula but overall confidence in showers is low (10-15% chance of rain). High temperatures will reach the middle to upper 80s and lower 90s this afternoon, with heat index

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, May 13, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Dense fog and low clouds have developed this morning along portions of the I-95 corridor reducing visibility to ¼ of a mile or less at times, but will continue to lift and dissipate by the mid-morning hours. Less of an active weather pattern compared to the last few days can be expected today; however, isolated to widely scattered showers will linger across the state during the daytime hours (10-35% chance of rain). Embedded thunderstorms will be possible, and a locally strong thunderstorm or two cannot be

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, May 12, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: The wet and active weather pattern will continue throughout the state today as the upper-level disturbance continues to push northward over the Southeast U.S. Scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected throughout the day, with more widespread activity across the Florida Peninsula due to a cold front associated with the disturbance (65-100% chance of rain). Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible throughout the Big Bend and Florida Peninsula, especially during the peak heating hours of the day - Marginal Risk (level 1 of

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, May 11th, 2025
Morning Situation ReportFlorida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: The active and unsettled weather pattern will continue today across the Sunshine State with multiple rounds of widespread shower and thunderstorm activity. An upper-level disturbance will continue to bring scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms onshore across the Panhandle and West Coast throughout the day (60-95% chance of rain). Throughout the rest of the Peninsula, daily sea breeze shower and thunderstorm activity will be enhanced by the nearby disturbance also leading to scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms (65-90% chance of rain).

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, May 10th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Active and unsettled weather pattern will bring a multi-day period of heavy rainfall and isolated strong to severe thunderstorms throughout North and Central Florida. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is now outlooking a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for Severe Weather along central portions of the Florida Panhandle, with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) extending south through the I-4 corridor. Primary concerns will be locally damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph), frequent lightning, isolated hail, and heavy rainfall rates; localized greater threat

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, May 9th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Today will start to transition to a stormier pattern as an upper-level low digs southwards and develop over the Gulf, sending waves of scattered showers and thunderstorms across the state (45-85% chance of rain). Additional showers and thunderstorms can be expected to develop with the sea breezes this afternoon and evening, primarily along the Peninsula. Drier conditions will persist across South Florida as drier air lingers, allowing for only isolated shower activity with a few thunderstorms possible (10-30% chance of rain). A few strong to

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, May 8th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A wet weather pattern continues to develop today as the persistent frontal boundary remains near or over North Florida, allowing for moisture to continue filtering in over the state from the Gulf. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected across much of the state today (55-75% chance of rain). Northern portions of the state will likely see the first showers and embedded thunderstorms begin this morning, while activity further southward into the Peninsula will likely develop a little later in the day, primarily during the afternoon hours