
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, June 20th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Typical summertime weather pattern continues across the Sunshine State, with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Isolated to widely scattered afternoon thunderstorms expected along the Florida Panhandle (40-55% chance of rain). More widespread rain and thunderstorm chances develop across the Florida Peninsula, west of I-95 corridor (55-75%). Thunderstorms may become strong to severe and capable of producing gusty winds (40-60 mph), frequent lightning, and heavy downpours. Slow-moving thunderstorms may lead to instances of nuisance flooding and ponding water , especially for usual trouble spots
The Winter Storm Watch has been replaced. Please see the latest information from NWS Missoula MT on this developing situation.
The Winter Storm Watch has been replaced. Please see the latest information from NWS Missoula MT on this developing situation.

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, June 19th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Another typical summertime day can be expected across the Sunshine State, with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. More widespread rain and thunderstorm activity develops across North Florida and Florida Peninsula, mainly west of the I-95 corridor (50-70% chance of rain). A few thunderstorms may become strong to severe and capable of producing gusty winds (40-60 mph), frequent lightning, and heavy downpours. Slow-moving thunderstorms may lead to nuisance flooding and ponding water , especially for urban and poor drainage/low-lying areas that experience multiple rounds of

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday June 18th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Strong high pressure over the western Atlantic will continue to bring summertime conditions across the Sunshine State with daily showers and thunderstorms. Morning showers and embedded thunderstorms along the Gulf Coast are already beginning to move towards the coastlines this morning, and they will continue to move inland and increasing in coverage (35-65% chance of rain). The Atlantic and Gulf Coast sea breeze will collide with one another along the western and interior Peninsula, bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms (25-50% chance of rain). Any

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, June 17th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Little change in the overall weather pattern can be expected as daily showers and thunderstorms will develop across the state. Morning showers and embedded thunderstorms along the Gulf Coast will gradually move inland throughout the morning hours before becoming more scattered with daytime heating (25-55% chance of rain). Some drier air filtering into the Peninsula will keep shower and thunderstorm activity more isolated to scattered along the sea breeze boundaries this afternoon (20-60% chance of rain). The greatest coverage across the Peninsula will be along the

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, June 16th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A stagnant weather pattern will continue to lead to daily showers and thunderstorms developing throughout the day along the sea breeze. Morning showers and thunderstorms have already develop along the coastal Big Bend and Nature Coast, and southerly to southeasterly winds to keep bringing them onshore this morning. Additional scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected to develop across the state along the sea breeze boundaries, with some locally strong to severe thunderstorms possible (50-70% chance of rain). Frequent lightning, gusty winds and

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, June 15th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: The typical summertime thunderstorm pattern will continue throughout the state as scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop with daytime heating and the daily sea breeze (55-80% chance of rain). Onshore winds are already bringing isolated showers and thunderstorms onshore along the Panhandle and Gulf Coast, and these will continue to become more widespread with daytime heating. The Gulf and Atlantic sea breeze boundaries will move inland and collide with one another keeping the greatest shower and thunderstorm coverage along the western Peninsula. Saharan Dry

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, June 14th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected across the Sunshine State, courtesy of our typical summertime pattern. Southerly to southeasterly winds are beginning to usher spotty showers along Florida’s coastlines this morning, with an increase in coverage and intensity expected with the sea breeze (55-85% chance of rain). A few thunderstorms may become strong to locally severe ; frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph), and very heavy downpours likely. Prolonged periods of thunderstorm activity and intense downpours may lead to instances of flooding and

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, June 13th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Morning showers and embedded thunderstorms have already begun to move onshore along the Big Bend and Nature Coast as the sea breeze gets an early start. The typical summertime pattern can be expected with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developing nearly statewide throughout the day (65-75% chance of rain). Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible during the peak heating hours of day bringing frequent lightning, gusty winds and torrential downpours. The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, June 12th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Southeasterly winds will continue to pull moisture northward allowing for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop throughout the day (60-90% chance of rain). Daytime heating and the daily sea breeze moving inland will allow for showers and thunderstorms to develop, some of which may become locally strong to severe. Any thunderstorm may be capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds and torrential downpours. There is no organized risk for flash flooding; however, slow-moving thunderstorms or repeated rounds of torrential downpours could lead to