SPC Apr 10, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0333 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 131200Z - 181200Z ...DISCUSSION... Primary feature of interest will be a shortwave trough over MT at 12Z Sunday and its major amplification into a broad eastern CONUS/southeast Canadian trough through mid-week. Poleward moisture quality from the western Gulf will remain sub-optimal, but will improve through D5/Monday. The northeast extent of weak surface buoyancy should reach the OH Valley by Monday afternoon, where guidance has been trending farther south with an intense mid-level jet. Given a prior EML and the
SPC – No watches are valid as of Thu Apr 10 08:36:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Thu Apr 10 08:36:02 UTC 2025.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Thu Apr 10 08:36:02 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Apr 10 08:36:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Apr 10, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday or Saturday night. ...Central Rockies to the Upper Midwest... A mid-level ridge from the southern High Plains to the Upper Midwest at 12Z Saturday morning will shift east and gradually dampen, as a shortwave trough progresses across the northern Rockies and into MT through early Sunday. Large-scale ascent will strengthen near peak diurnal heating across parts of the central Rockies to
SPC Apr 10, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1234 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail and damaging winds are possible across parts of the Southeast from late morning through the afternoon Friday. ...Eastern NC vicinity... A leading shortwave impulse rotating through the basal portion of a broader eastern U.S. longwave trough will yield strengthening forcing for ascent during the late morning. Some 00Z HREF members, notably the NSSL and FV3 indicate thunderstorm
SPC Apr 10, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE DEEP SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong-severe thunderstorms are expected from portions of the lower Ohio Valley into the Deep South this afternoon. Hail and wind are the primary concerns. ...Discussion... Strong 500mb speed max is translating across the central Plains toward the Mid South. This will allow an upper trough to deepen east of the MS River
SPC – No watches are valid as of Wed Apr 9 21:20:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Wed Apr 9 21:20:02 UTC 2025.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Wed Apr 9 21:20:02 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Apr 9 21:20:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Apr 9, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025 Valid 092000Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms remain possible through tonight from parts of the northern/central Plains into the Midwest and Ohio Valley and eastern FL. Severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...20z Update... Only minor changes were made to the thunder areas across parts of NE and MT for the latest guidance and ongoing storms. Severe thunderstorms are unlikely, see the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/09/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1115 AM CDT Wed Apr
SPC Apr 9, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0211 PM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.... ...SUMMARY... A couple strong to severe storms will be possible from the eastern Carolinas into southeast Virginia on Friday. Primary concerns will be isolated severe hail and locally damaging wind gusts. ...Discussion... A strong mid-level jet streak will round the base of the trough on Friday morning resulting in a deepening, negatively tilted mid-level shortwave trough across the