SPC – No watches are valid as of Mon Jan 6 21:33:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Mon Jan 6 21:33:02 UTC 2025.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Mon Jan 6 21:33:02 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Jan 6 21:33:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Jan 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 PM CST Mon Jan 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms, one or two of which may be strong to potentially severe, will be possible across parts of western Florida through the remainder of this afternoon and early this evening. ...20z Update... Afternoon visible imagery shows the cold front has gradually moved east/southeast through the remainder of south GA and the FL Panhandle. Behind the front, the intruding
SPC Jan 6, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0107 PM CST Mon Jan 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Very isolated thunderstorms are possible across parts of the Trans-Pecos to central Texas on Wednesday night. ...TX... An initially closed mid/upper low should gradually evolve back into an open, positive-tilt trough by early Thursday as it slowly slides across the southern Gulf of CA and northwest Mexico. Warm-moist advection at 700 mb should yield scant buoyancy with mixed-phase states in elevated parcels amid steep mid-level lapse rates. Most
SPC Jan 6, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1115 AM CST Mon Jan 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday through Tuesday night. ...Southwest... A positive-tilt shortwave trough will close off over the Lower CO Valley into the northern Gulf of CA vicinity by early Wednesday. The lobe of ascent downstream of the trough should largely become centered across eastern AZ on Tuesday night. Amid rather steep mid-level lapse rates, minimal elevated buoyancy emanating from below-freezing parcels should develop. While scattered light showers
SPC – No watches are valid as of Mon Jan 6 08:01:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Mon Jan 6 08:01:02 UTC 2025.
SPC MD 19
MD 0019 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA INTO THE DELMARVA Mesoscale Discussion 0019 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0112 AM CST Mon Jan 06 2025 Areas affected...eastern West Virginia and northern Virginia into the DelMarVa Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 060712Z - 061215Z SUMMARY...1+ inch per hour snowfall rates are expected early this morning. DISCUSSION...A band of moderate to heavy snow has developed across northern Virginia amid strong isentropic ascent and frontogenesis early this morning in response to a strengthening low-level jet. Evidence of this can be seen on the FCX VWP where 1.5 km winds
SPC MD 20
MD 0020 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR SOUTHERN VIRGINIA AND FAR NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS Mesoscale Discussion 0020 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CST Mon Jan 06 2025 Areas affected...southern Virginia and far northern North Carolina Mountains Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 060744Z - 061245Z SUMMARY...Moderate freezing rain is expected to expand across southern Virginia and the northern North Carolina mountains early this morning. DISCUSSION...Temperatures are in the upper 20s to near 30 across much of southern Virginia this morning. Some snow is occurring across central Virginia where the thermodynamic column remains below freezing, but the 0C 700mb
SPC Jan 6, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 AM CST Mon Jan 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected over the continental U.S. on Tuesday or Tuesday night. ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level zonal flow regime is forecast over the southeastern third of the nation on Tuesday, as a mid-level low closes off over the Desert Southwest. At the surface, cold and dry high pressure will be present over nearly the entire continental U.S., making thunderstorms unlikely Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 01/06/2025 Read more
SPC Jan 6, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms -- a couple of which may be strong to potentially severe -- will be possible across parts of the Southeast. ...Southeast... Strong 500mb speed max is forecast to translate across Alabama to the NC Coast by 07/00z. As a result, westerly flow is forecast to deepen across the Southeast/FL Peninsula through the period. Latest model guidance suggests a sharp