SPC MD 12
MD 0012 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LOUISIANA INTO MISSISSIPPI Mesoscale Discussion 0012 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0109 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Areas affected...portions of eastern Louisiana into Mississippi Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 051909Z - 052045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm potential will increase through the afternoon across eastern Louisiana into Mississippi. Damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes are possible into this evening. DISCUSSION...The warm sector is continuing to expand north and east across the Lower Mississippi Valley early this afternoon. Mid-60s F surface dewpoints are now evident
SPC Tornado Watch 1
WW 1 TORNADO AR LA TX 051625Z - 060000Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Sun Jan 5 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Arkansas Western and Northern Louisiana East and Southeast Texas * Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1025 AM until 600 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to
SPC Jan 5, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will
SPC Jan 5, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1119 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND INTO NORTHERN AND WESTERN FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms -- a couple of which may be strong to potentially severe -- will be possible across parts of the Southeast on Monday. ...Synopsis... A weakening mid-level short-wave trough is forecast to advance quickly eastward across the central and southern Appalachians Monday, and then off the Mid-Atlantic Coast Monday night. South of this trough
SPC Jan 5, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0938 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 051630Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening from the Sabine River Valley into the Mid-South and central Gulf Coast states. Tornadoes and scattered severe/damaging winds should be the primary threats. A couple of strong tornadoes may also occur. ...Synopsis... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a mid- to upper-level trough over the central U.S. A powerful mid-level shortwave
SPC – No watches are valid as of Sun Jan 5 07:40:01 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Sun Jan 5 07:40:01 UTC 2025.
SPC MD 2
MD 0002 CONCERNING FREEZING RAIN FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS INTO FAR WESTERN MISSOURI Mesoscale Discussion 0002 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0838 PM CST Sat Jan 04 2025 Areas affected...south-central Kansas into far western Missouri Concerning...Freezing rain Valid 050238Z - 050845Z SUMMARY...Areas of light freezing rain may intensify later this evening, spreading out of south-central Kansas into far western Missouri. Small hail may also occur from far northern Oklahoma into southern Kansas. DISCUSSION...Light freezing drizzle/rain persists this evening over south-central KS north of the warm front over northern OK. VWPs indicate increasing southwest flow just above the stable/cold boundary layer
SPC Jan 5, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts will be possible across parts of the Southeast on Monday. ...Southeast... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the Tennessee Valley and central Gulf Coast states on Monday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Thunderstorms may be ongoing along and near the front at the start of the
SPC Jan 5, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 PM CST Sat Jan 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong/severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening from the Sabine River Valley into the Mid-South and lower Mississippi Valley. Severe wind gusts, tornadoes and hail will be the primary threats. ...Sabine River Valley to central Gulf States... Late-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a well-defined short-wave trough advancing east across CO/NM. This feature is forecast to strengthen as it
SPC Jan 4, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0136 PM CST Sat Jan 04 2025 Valid 042000Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms remain possible late tonight into early Sunday morning from parts of the southern/central Plains eastward to the Mid-South. Severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...20Z Update... A pronounced mid-level trough continues to amplify while traversing the Inter-mountain West, supporting a gradual increase in the strength of a low-level jet, which is currently positioned over the Plains states. Objective analysis shows richer low-level moisture over TX, which is