SPC – No watches are valid as of Tue Dec 10 08:07:02 UTC 2024
No watches are valid as of Tue Dec 10 08:07:02 UTC 2024.
SPC Dec 10, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN NC INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Strong to isolated severe thunderstorms are possible along and ahead of a cold front from eastern North Carolina into southern New England on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... A deep upper trough is expected to extend from central Canada southward along the length of the MS Valley into the western Gulf early Wednesday morning. A shortwave trough embedded within the base
SPC Dec 10, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1147 PM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AND INTO SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the central Gulf Coast region into southwestern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle today. ...Synopsis... An amplifying upper trough will cross the central third of the U.S. today, taking on weak negative tilt by late in the period as it reaches
SPC – No watches are valid as of Mon Dec 9 20:26:01 UTC 2024
No watches are valid as of Mon Dec 9 20:26:01 UTC 2024.
SPC MD 2254
MD 2254 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO EASTERN LOUISIANA Mesoscale Discussion 2254 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0223 PM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Areas affected...portions of central into eastern Louisiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 092023Z - 092300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A isolated damaging gust or tornado cannot be ruled out this afternoon and early evening. The severe threat should remain sparse and a WW issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have gradually been intensifying along a confluence band across portions of southern LA, where a 925-850 mb moisture axis preceding an approaching low-level
SPC MD 2253
MD 2253 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW YORK INTO VERMONT AND NEW HAMPSHIRE Mesoscale Discussion 2253 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Areas affected...Portions of eastern New York into Vermont and New Hampshire Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 092007Z - 100200Z SUMMARY...Wintry mixed precipitation is possible through the afternoon and evening hours across portions of eastern NY into portions of New England. Freezing rain and perhaps a bit of sleet appears likely over lower-terrain areas, with snow (perhaps up to 1 inch/hr rates) over the higher terrain. DISCUSSION...A broad precipitation
SPC Dec 9, 2024 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 PM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Valid 092000Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Lower Mississippi Valley into much of the Southeast States today and tonight. Isolated strong to severe storms may affect parts of southern Louisiana and Mississippi. ...20Z Update... No changes to the ongoing forecast. Prior forecast reasoning remains valid as some destabilization has occurred in parts of southern Louisiana into southern Mississippi. The strongest storms could
SPC Dec 9, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0111 PM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Strong to isolated severe thunderstorms are possible along and ahead of a cold front from the Mid-Atlantic into the Florida Peninsula on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... As a strong mid-level trough becomes negatively tilted across the eastern CONUS, a surface low will deepen as it moves north along the spine of the Appalachians and tropospheric flow will strengthen across
SPC Dec 9, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH AL...SOUTHWEST GA...AND THE ADJACENT FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of central and south Alabama, southwest Georgia, and the adjacent Florida Panhandle on Tuesday. ...Southeast... An upper-level trough will amplify and transition from positively tilted across the Southwest Tuesday morning to negatively tilted by early Wednesday morning across the Mississippi Valley. Persistent weak southerly flow will
SPC Dec 9, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1008 AM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Valid 091630Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Lower Mississippi Valley into much of the Southeast States today and tonight. Isolated strong to severe storms may affect parts of southern Louisiana and Mississippi. ...LA/MS... Morning water vapor imagery shows a low-amplitude shortwave trough moving across central TX. This feature will track into the lower MS valley this