Tag: spc

Official

SPC Nov 29, 2024 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0109 AM CST Fri Nov 29 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... The overall pattern will not change much from Day 2/Sat to Day 3/Sun. A broad upper trough will persist across the eastern CONUS while and Pacific coast upper ridge migrates modestly eastward. A lightning flash or two will remain possible across the Great Lakes within lake effect snow bands, but very minor instability will keep coverage less than 10 percent. Easterly low-level
Official

SPC Nov 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1207 AM CST Fri Nov 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm potential appears low on Saturday. ...Synopsis... A broad upper trough will encompass the eastern half of the CONUS, while an upper ridge remains centered along the Pacific coast on Saturday. A couple of embedded shortwave impulses within the upper trough will migrate across the Northeast and Great Lakes vicinity. Cold temperatures aloft will support very minor instability (less than 100 J/kg MUCAPE) across the relatively warmer Great Lakes
Official

SPC Nov 29, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 PM CST Thu Nov 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today. ...Synopsis... Cyclonic flow aloft will continue to prevail across all but the West Coast States today, with the axis of the primary trough to shift eastward across the eastern third of the country through the period. At the surface, a cold front trailing southward across the western Atlantic from a low initially over the Canadian Maritimes, will move gradually southward across the
Official

SPC MD 2243

MD 2243 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...SOUTHERN VERMONT...NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWESTERN MAINE Mesoscale Discussion 2243 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0947 AM CST Thu Nov 28 2024 Areas affected...parts of east central New York...southern Vermont...New Hampshire and southwestern Maine Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 281547Z - 281845Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow rates on the order of 1-2 inches per hour appear probable in a corridor from the vicinity of the Capital District of New York through the southern Green into White Mountains of Vermont and New Hampshire, into areas north of Portland ME through 1-3 PM EST. DISCUSSION...Rapid
Official

SPC Nov 28, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1056 AM CST Thu Nov 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will remain over eastern North America on Friday with an upper low over northeastern Ontario. Cool temperatures aloft will extend far south across the northern Gulf of Mexico and FL as well, where a band of steeper midlevel lapse rates will exist. At the surface, high pressure will encompass most of the CONUS, resulting in a
Official

SPC Nov 28, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1010 AM CST Thu Nov 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST US... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to potentially severe thunderstorms are possible today across parts of the Southeast. ...Southeast States... Fast westerly flow aloft is present across the eastern CONUS, with a progressive shortwave trough crossing the central/northern Appalachians. The associated cold front currently extends from VA into parts of NC/SC/GA/AL to the FL panhandle. Thunderstorms along/ahead of the front