SPC Nov 26, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0302 AM CST Tue Nov 26 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...D4/Friday... While guidance continues to vary regarding frontal timing, even the slower solutions have the front near or off of the Carolina coast by 12Z Friday. The trailing portion of the front will move across the Florida Peninsula during the day. Some overlap of strong deep-layer shear and modest instability may develop along/ahead of the front across the peninsula, but a general weakening of large-scale ascent with time could limit potential for robust storm development.
SPC Nov 26, 2024 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0220 AM CST Tue Nov 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to potentially severe thunderstorms are possible Thursday across parts of the Southeast. ...Synopsis... Uncertainty regarding synoptic evolution on D2/Wednesday continues into D3/Thanksgiving Day. In general, a low-amplitude mid/upper-level shortwave trough and attendant surface cyclone are forecast to move east-northeastward from the TN Valley/southern Appalachians vicinity toward the Mid Atlantic and eventually offshore, as a trailing cold front moves
SPC Nov 26, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0142 AM CST Tue Nov 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE ARKLAMISS REGION INTO CENTRAL/NORTHERN AL... CORRECTED FOR DAY REFERENCE IN SYNOPSIS ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible from the lower Mississippi Valley into parts of Alabama, primarily from late Wednesday night into early Thursday morning. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted mid/upper-level shortwave trough is expected to move quickly eastward from the central Rockies/Great Plains toward the lower/mid MS and TN Valleys
SPC – No watches are valid as of Mon Nov 25 21:56:01 UTC 2024
No watches are valid as of Mon Nov 25 21:56:01 UTC 2024.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Mon Nov 25 21:56:01 UTC 2024
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Nov 25 21:56:01 UTC 2024.
SPC Nov 25, 2024 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 PM CST Mon Nov 25 2024 Valid 252000Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized severe thunderstorms not expected through tonight. ...20Z Update... Recent surface analysis places a low over south-central Lower MI, with a cold front extending southwestward from this low through central IN and far southern IL, and continuing through the MO Boot Heel and eastern AR into south TX. Showers have been confined to the post-frontal regime over IL thus far, but general expectation is for precipitation to increase
SPC Nov 25, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0125 PM CST Mon Nov 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for severe weather appears negligible through this period, but widely scattered thunderstorms are possible across parts of the lower Mississippi Valley into Tennessee Valley by late Wednesday night. ...Synopsis... Models suggest that mid/upper ridging across the subtropical eastern Pacific into Gulf of Mexico will undergo suppression into and through this forecast period, with some amplification of troughing within the mid-latitude westerlies east of the Rockies into
SPC – No watches are valid as of Mon Nov 25 05:53:02 UTC 2024
No watches are valid as of Mon Nov 25 05:53:02 UTC 2024.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Mon Nov 25 05:53:02 UTC 2024
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Nov 25 05:53:02 UTC 2024.
SPC Nov 25, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1147 PM CST Sun Nov 24 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm potential appears low on Tuesday. ...Synopsis... Thunderstorm chances will be minimal across the CONUS on Tuesday, as a negative-tilt shortwave trough moves into Quebec, and a cold front progresses across the remainder of the Southeast. Showers may linger along the front from the southern Appalachians to the Mid Atlantic Tuesday morning, and a lighting flash or two cannot be ruled out over the southern AL to GA portion