SPC MD 438
MD 0438 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST GEORGIA Mesoscale Discussion 0438 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Areas affected...Central/southeast Georgia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 072047Z - 072145Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Some increase in convection may be sustained along the deeper wind shift/cold front, but severe storms appear unlikely. DISCUSSION...West of the pre-frontal convection, a recent increase in updraft depth/intensity has occurred across central GA. This deepening convection appears to be along the deeper wind shift, with a band of ascent impinging on residual moisture in the wake of earlier convection.
SPC Tornado Watch 133 Status Reports
WW 0133 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 133 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E AAF TO 10 N VLD TO 25 WSW VDI TO 30 NNW VDI TO 15 SSW AGS. ..SPC..04/07/25 ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...CHS...CAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 133 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC029-031-033-043-051-103-109-165-179-183-251-267-072240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRYAN BULLOCH BURKE CANDLER CHATHAM EFFINGHAM EVANS JENKINS LIBERTY LONG SCREVEN TATTNALL SCC005-009-011-049-053-072240- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLENDALE BAMBERG BARNWELL HAMPTON JASPER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS
SPC Tornado Watch 133
WW 133 TORNADO FL GA SC CW 071420Z - 072200Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 133 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of North Florida Southern and Southeast Georgia Southern South Carolina Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday morning and evening from 1020 AM until 600 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Severe storm potential should further increase into the afternoon, with strong shear and
SPC Apr 7, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0227 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 072000Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM NORTH FLORIDA TO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms are expected this afternoon across parts of northern Florida and southeastern Georgia to the eastern Carolinas. ...North FL to eastern NC the remainder of the afternoon... The earlier supercell structures have largely weakened across north FL/southeast GA, though newer bowing segments have formed and are moving across eastern NC with recent severe
SPC Apr 7, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible across portions of the the Middle Mississippi Valley and northern High Plains, though severe storms are not expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Wednesday, an upper trough will dive southeastward from the northern Plains into the mid MS/OH Valleys, as an upper high builds over the West. High pressure will exist behind an exiting northeastern trough, and ahead of the Plains trough. As such, this system
SPC Apr 7, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1236 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong storms may occur over far southern Florida and the Keys late Tuesday and into the overnight hours, and from southeast Montana to Black Hills. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A low-latitude shortwave trough will move east across the Gulf while a front sinks south across far southern FL. Modest heating may yield MUCAPE around 1000 J/kg over far southern FL, supporting daytime storms near and north of the
SPC – No watches are valid as of Mon Apr 7 07:22:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Mon Apr 7 07:22:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Apr 7, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0219 AM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible across portions of the the Middle Mississippi Valley and northern High Plains, though organized severe storms are not expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... An amplifying/intensifying midlevel trough will track southeastward from the northern Plains toward the Lower Ohio Valley through the period. A related surface cyclone will advance eastward from the central Plains to the Lower Great Lakes, while a trailing cold front moves eastward across
SPC MD 432
MD 0432 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF THE FL PNHDL...SERN AL...SWRN GA Mesoscale Discussion 0432 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0213 AM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Areas affected...parts of the FL PNHDL...sern AL...swrn GA Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 070713Z - 070945Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...The potential for briefly intensifying storms posing the risk for a tornado or locally strong surface gusts likely will continue into the 3-5 AM CDT time frame. The risk still appears low and isolated enough that a severe weather watch is not necessary, but trends are being monitored. DISCUSSION...There has
SPC Apr 7, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 AM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE KEYS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms may occur over far southern Florida and the Keys on Tuesday afternoon into the overnight hours. ...Synopsis... A low-latitude midlevel trough will advance eastward across the Gulf during the day, and overspread the Florida Peninsula during the overnight hours. At the same time, a cold front will move southeastward across southern