Tag: spc

Official

SPC MD 1300

MD 1300 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHWEST INTO SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...FAR NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA Mesoscale Discussion 1300 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025 Areas affected...Southwest into Southeast Virginia...far northern North Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 151723Z - 151930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Strong to occasionally severe storms may produce wind damage and perhaps a tornado or two. The tornado threat will be maximized near a lifting warm front. A watch is not currently expected this afternoon, though trends will be monitored. DISCUSSION...Water vapor imagery shows a weak mid-level disturbance moving into the
Official

SPC Jun 15, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025 Valid 151630Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT FROM CENTRAL/EASTERN MONTANA INTO ADJACENT AREAS OF NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH DAKOTA AND WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing large to very large hail and swaths of severe/damaging gusts (some 75+ mph) are likely across portions of central/eastern Montana into northeast Wyoming and the western Dakotas this afternoon through tonight. Additional strong to severe thunderstorms may occur across the central/southern
Official

SPC Jun 15, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0752 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing large to very large hail and swaths of severe/damaging gusts (some 75+ mph) are likely across portions of central/eastern Montana into northeast Wyoming and the western Dakotas this afternoon through tonight. Additional strong to severe thunderstorms may occur across the central/southern Plains, and over parts of Virginia and North Carolina. ...Northern/Central Plains... Ongoing
Official

SPC MD 1294

MD 1294 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 417... FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/NORTHEAST OK Mesoscale Discussion 1294 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Areas affected...Parts of central/northeast OK Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 417... Valid 150434Z - 150600Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 417 continues. SUMMARY...A severe threat will continue into the early overnight. DISCUSSION...A small storm cluster is propagating south-southeastward across central OK late this evening. A couple of embedded supercells are ongoing within this cluster, with additional development noted along the western portion of the trailing outflow. Despite some nocturnal cooling, instability
Official

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 416 Status Reports

WW 0416 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 416 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW GDV TO 35 NW MLS TO 25 WNW 3HT. ..KERR..06/15/25 ATTN...WFO...BYZ...TFX...GGW... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 416 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MTC027-033-045-055-069-079-150640- MT . MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FERGUS GARFIELD JUDITH BASIN MCCONE PETROLEUM PRAIRIE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more
Official

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 416

WW 416 SEVERE TSTM MT WY 150015Z - 150700Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 416 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 615 PM MDT Sat Jun 14 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central into Southeast and Eastern Montana Far Northern Wyoming * Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 615 PM until 100 AM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter
Official

SPC MD 1295

MD 1295 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 416... FOR CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST MT Mesoscale Discussion 1295 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1146 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Areas affected...Central into northeast MT Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 416... Valid 150446Z - 150615Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 416 continues. SUMMARY...Strong to locally severe storms may continue into the late night. DISCUSSION...Scattered storms are ongoing late this evening across parts of central MT. While intensities have decreased somewhat from the earlier severe hail producing storms, a storm has recently intensified in Wheatland County. MUCAPE of 500-1000 J/kg and relatively
Official

SPC Jun 15, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MONTANA AND FAR NORTHEAST WYOMING INTO PARTS OF THE WESTERN DAKOTAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms capable of large to very large hail and swaths of damaging gusts are possible across portions of Montana into northeast Wyoming, and parts of the western Dakotas this afternoon and evening. Additional strong to severe storms may occur across the central/southern High Plains, and over parts of Virginia and