Tag: spc

Official

SPC Apr 1, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM MUCH OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY TO THE MID MS AND OH VALLEYS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... A broad area of strong to severe storms is expected along a frontal zone from the ArkLaTex, Mid MS Valley to the OH/TN Valleys and the Mid Atlantic. Damaging gusts and hail are the primary risks, though a few tornadoes are possible. ...Synopsis... An elongated frontal zone
Official

SPC Apr 1, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO THE OH/MID MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Numerous severe storms are likely Wednesday and Wednesday night across the Lower Great Lakes, Mid Mississippi Valley, and the ArkLaTex. Severe wind gusts, very large hail, and strong tornadoes are possible. ...Synopsis... A broad mid-level trough and powerful 100+ kt jet streak will move northeastward across the upper Midwest and Great Lakes regions Wednesday. Strong
Official

SPC Apr 1, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Rapid, intense thunderstorm development is possible this evening across parts of the central and southern Great Plains. A few supercells posing a risk for large hail and a couple of strong tornadoes are possible, particularly across parts of north central Oklahoma into south central Kansas. ...Discussion... Amplification of mid/upper flow across the
Official

SPC MD 327

MD 0327 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 88... FOR SOUTHERN GEORGIA INTO NORTH FLORIDA Mesoscale Discussion 0327 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 Areas affected...Southern Georgia into North Florida Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88... Valid 311754Z - 312000Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging wind potential will likely continue into more of southern Georgia and North Florida. An additional severe thunderstorm watch for parts of these areas is probable this afternoon. DISCUSSION...With surface temperatures ahead of the ongoing convective line reaching the low 80s F, MLCAPE has risen to around
Official

SPC MD 329

MD 0329 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 87... FOR FAR EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA INTO CENTRAL/UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA Mesoscale Discussion 0329 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 Areas affected...Far east-central Georgia into central/Upstate South Carolina Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 87... Valid 311903Z - 312030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 87 continues. SUMMARY...A line of storms moving at 40-45 kts will allow for additional convectively enhanced wind gusts capable of wind damage despite a gradual reduction in buoyancy with northeast extent. DISCUSSION...A ling of convection now in parts of northeast/east-central Georgia is moving northeast at
Official

SPC MD 328

MD 0328 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA INTO VIRGINIA AND MARYLAND Mesoscale Discussion 0328 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0145 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 Areas affected...Northern North Carolina into Virginia and Maryland Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 311845Z - 312045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Isolated thunderstorms across the western Carolinas are expected to increase in coverage through late afternoon and early evening. Eventual watch issuance into North Carolina and Virginia/Maryland is possible as storms grow upscale and pose a more widespread wind threat. DISCUSSION...Convection across the western Carolinas has shown steady intensification over the
Official

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 87 Status Reports

WW 0087 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 87 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE ABY TO 35 E MCN TO 30 W AGS TO 45 NW AGS TO 20 WNW GSP TO 10 ENE AVL. ..WENDT..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 87 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC033-073-081-091-107-125-163-167-175-181-189-209-235-245-271- 279-283-303-309-315-312040- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BURKE COLUMBIA CRISP DODGE EMANUEL GLASCOCK JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAURENS LINCOLN MCDUFFIE MONTGOMERY PULASKI RICHMOND TELFAIR TOOMBS TREUTLEN WASHINGTON WHEELER WILCOX NCC025-045-071-109-119-149-161-179-312040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CABARRUS CLEVELAND GASTON LINCOLN MECKLENBURG POLK RUTHERFORD UNION
Official

SPC MD 330

MD 0330 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTHERN VIRGINIA INTO CENTRAL MARYLAND...SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY Mesoscale Discussion 0330 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0233 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 Areas affected...Northern Virginia into central Maryland...southeast Pennsylvania...and northwest New Jersey Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 311933Z - 312130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected within the next couple of hours across parts of the Mid-Atlantic region. The convective environment should support a damaging wind threat into the evening hours. Trends will be monitored for possible watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Over the past few hours, GOES visible imagery has
Official

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 87

WW 87 SEVERE TSTM GA NC SC 311530Z - 312300Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 87 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Northern Georgia Western North Carolina Western and Central South Carolina * Effective this Monday morning and evening from 1130 AM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible A tornado or two
Official

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88 Status Reports

WW 0088 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 88 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW AAF TO 30 W TLH TO 35 N TLH TO 10 SE ABY TO 40 SSW MCN. ..WENDT..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 88 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC037-039-045-073-077-129-312040- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF LEON LIBERTY WAKULLA GAC071-131-275-277-287-321-312040- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLQUITT GRADY THOMAS TIFT TURNER WORTH GMZ735-752-755-312040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE ST. ANDREWS BAY WATERWAYS Read more