SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Fri Mar 28 07:08:01 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Mar 28 07:08:01 UTC 2025.
SPC Mar 28, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN OKLAHOMA INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from northern Oklahoma into the Lower Missouri Valley on Saturday evening/night. Large to very large hail should be the primary hazard, but a couple of severe gusts and possibly a tornado or two may occur. ...Northern Oklahoma into parts of the Lower Missouri/Mid Mississippi Valleys... As the primary vorticity maximum within a
SPC Mar 28, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 AM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO NEBRASKA...AND ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF COAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... A low-probability tornado and wind threat is forecast through this evening across portions of the western Gulf Coast States. Isolated severe hail is also possible from the Upper Midwest into Nebraska later this evening/night. ...Western Gulf Coast States... Southern-stream upper trough is currently located over northeast Mexico/far West TX. This feature
SPC – No watches are valid as of Thu Mar 27 19:31:01 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Thu Mar 27 19:31:01 UTC 2025.
SPC Mar 27, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0227 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN OK TO NORTHERN MO... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from northern Oklahoma into the Lower Missouri Valley on Saturday evening/night. Large to very large hail could be the primary hazard, but severe gusts and a couple tornadoes may occur. ...Central States... Primary changes with this outlook are to add a level 2-SLGT risk and expand the level 1-MRGL along the dryline through TX.
SPC MD 270
MD 0270 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS / LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY Mesoscale Discussion 0270 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Areas affected...far southern Texas / Lower Rio Grande Valley Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 271841Z - 272115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A couple strong gusts cannot be ruled out eventually over parts of the Lower Rio Grande Valley. DISCUSSION...A large, heavy-rain producing convective system continues to slowly propagate eastward, with newer development upstream into Mexico (see WPC MPD #0088). Midday soundings reveal deep, moist profiles with poor lapse rates
SPC Mar 27, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1219 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE CENTRAL STATES... ...SUMMARY... A low-probability tornado and wind threat remains forecast for Friday morning through evening across portions of the western Gulf Coast States. Isolated severe hail is possible from the Upper Midwest into Nebraska on Friday evening/night. ...TX Coastal Plain to LA... After extensive preceding convection yesterday through today, poor mid-level lapse rates will be prevalent across much the region ahead
SPC Mar 27, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Valid 271630Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered large hail and localized severe wind gusts are possible across parts of the Lower Missouri/Mid-Mississippi Valleys. ...Central Plains to Lower Missouri/Middle Mississippi Valleys... Scattered thunderstorms, including a few lingering strong storms, continue late this morning from eastern KS into northern MO within a warm-air advection regime. Morning raob data over the central Great Plains indicated the northeastern
SPC Mar 27, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0236 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA TO PARTS OF IOWA AND ILLINOIS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms developing Saturday evening may pose local risk for hail and potentially strong wind gusts. ...portions of Oklahoma northeastward into Iowa/Illinois... Substantial uncertainty exists regarding the forecast for Saturday across the central U.S. -- with models exhibiting notable differences with respect to evolution of the surface pattern. Additionally, the NAM in particular maintains strong capping
SPC – No watches are valid as of Thu Mar 27 07:38:01 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Thu Mar 27 07:38:01 UTC 2025.