Tag: spc

Official

SPC MD 201

MD 0201 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 45... FOR NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI Mesoscale Discussion 0201 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1120 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Areas affected...northern Mississippi Concerning...Tornado Watch 45... Valid 151620Z - 151745Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45 continues. SUMMARY...Strong to intense tornadoes are likely through mid-afternoon across northern Mississippi. DISCUSSION...Several mature, embedded supercells are starting to emerge out of the larger area of precipitation across northwest Mississippi with additional development possible from showers evident on radar across northeast Mississippi. One of these supercells, in Humphreys County, has had a persistent very strong mid-level mesocyclone
Official

SPC MD 200

MD 0200 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA Mesoscale Discussion 0200 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1119 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Areas affected...extreme southeast Mississippi into much of western and central Alabama Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 151619Z - 151745Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...The severe threat will increase through the afternoon, including the potential for multiple intense, destructive tornadoes. A Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watch will be issued in the next hour. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms, including supercells, continue to increase in coverage and intensity over in MS
Official

SPC Mar 15, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 151630Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... A tornado outbreak is expected today across the central Gulf Coast States and Deep South into the Tennessee Valley. Numerous significant tornadoes, some of which should be long-track and potentially violent, are expected this afternoon and evening. The most dangerous tornado threat will begin across eastern Louisiana and Mississippi through this afternoon, spread across Alabama this afternoon into the
Official

SPC MD 196

MD 0196 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN MINNESOTA Mesoscale Discussion 0196 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Areas affected...portions of western Minnesota Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 151247Z - 151645Z SUMMARY...Periods of heavy snow (perhaps exceeding 1 inch/hr at times), along with blizzard conditions are possible this morning. Winds may sustain over 35 mph (with higher gusts), with reduced visibility possible in spots. DISCUSSION...A stacked cyclone continues to occlude while drifting toward Ontario. As this cyclone continues to track northward, continued CAA will keep the column below freezing while 850-700 mb frontogenesis will
Official

SPC Tornado Watch 44 Status Reports

WW 0044 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 44 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BENTLEY..03/15/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...LCH...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 44 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC017-151640- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHICOT LAC009-021-025-029-035-041-043-049-059-065-067-069-073-079-083- 085-107-115-123-127-151640- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE AVOYELLES CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RAPIDES RICHLAND SABINE TENSAS VERNON WEST CARROLL WINN MSC003-009-011-013-015-017-025-027-043-051-053-055-057-071-081- 083-093-095-097-107-115-117-119-125-133-135-137-139-141-145-149- 151-155-161-163-151640- Read more
Official

SPC Tornado Watch 44

WW 44 TORNADO AR LA MS TN 151055Z - 151800Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 44 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 555 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Arkansas Northern and central Louisiana Northern Mississippi Southwest Tennessee * Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 555 AM until 100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very
Official

SPC PDS Tornado Watch 45

WW 45 TORNADO LA MS CW 151530Z - 152300Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 45 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1030 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern Louisiana Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Saturday morning and evening from 1030 AM until 600 PM CDT. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... * Primary threats include... Numerous tornadoes and several intense tornadoes expected Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail
Official

SPC Tornado Watch 41 Status Reports

WW 0041 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 41 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 N LEX TO 35 ENE SDF TO 35 WSW LUK TO 10 NE LUK. WW 41 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 151400Z. ..SQUITIERI..03/15/25 ATTN...WFO...IND...LMK...ILN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 41 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC015-037-077-081-117-187-151400- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOONE CAMPBELL GALLATIN GRANT KENTON OWEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND
Official

SPC MD 186

MD 0186 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 34...35...39... FOR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS Mesoscale Discussion 0186 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1114 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Areas affected...southern Wisconsin into northern Illinois Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 34...35...39... Valid 150414Z - 150615Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 34, 35, 39 continues. SUMMARY...Strong/damaging gusts are expected to continue for the next couple of hours across southern Wisconsin and northern Illinois. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows an arcing band of convection extending from southeastern Minnesota south-southeastward into Illinois. Stronger cells along the leading edge of this band -- advancing