SPC MD 1249
MD 1249 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST VA INTO NORTHEAST NC Mesoscale Discussion 1249 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1115 AM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025 Areas affected...Southeast VA into Northeast NC Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 111615Z - 111815Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms may produce gusty winds and small hail through the afternoon. The severe risk is expected to remain low, and a watch is not currently expected. DISCUSSION...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms have developed early this afternoon as strong heating of a very moist airmass has resulted in weak to moderate
SPC Jun 11, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 AM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025 Valid 111630Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS AND PARTS OF THE MIDWEST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with severe wind gusts and hail are possible today across parts of Texas and the Upper Midwest. Marginally severe storms will also be possible in parts of the northern Intermountain region/northern High Plains and the Mid-Atlantic/Carolinas. ...Central/East Texas... A complex/muddled mesoscale scenario exists regionally owing to a decayed but lingering MCS across east/southeast Texas and
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Wed Jun 11 05:30:13 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Jun 11 05:30:13 UTC 2025.
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 407 Status Reports
WW 0407 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 407 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WSW COT TO 35 WSW HDO TO 50 S JCT. ..KERR..06/11/25 ATTN...WFO...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 407 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC127-163-325-463-507-110540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DIMMIT FRIO MEDINA UVALDE ZAVALA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 407
WW 407 SEVERE TSTM TX 102250Z - 110700Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 407 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 550 PM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of South-Central Texas * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday morning from 550 PM until 200 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A mix of supercells and clusters should spread generally east-southeastward this
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 406 Status Reports
WW 0406 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 406 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 WSW SJT TO 30 ENE FST TO 35 NNE FST TO 25 E HOB. REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 406 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 11/02Z. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1246. ..KERR..06/11/25 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...EPZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 406 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC003-033-103-115-135-165-173-227-317-329-383-461-110200- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN CRANE DAWSON ECTOR GAINES GLASSCOCK HOWARD MARTIN MIDLAND REAGAN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH
SPC Jun 11, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025 Valid 110100Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms associated with isolated large hail and damaging wind gusts are expected this evening across parts of the Rio Grande Valley. Marginally severe storms will be possible in parts of the southern Plains, central Gulf Coast states, and northwestern U.S. ...Rio Grande Valley/Southern Plains... A shortwave trough is evident on water vapor imagery over New Mexico. Ahead
SPC – No watches are valid as of Tue Jun 10 17:36:01 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Tue Jun 10 17:36:01 UTC 2025.
SPC MD 1240
MD 1240 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO WESTERN TEXAS Mesoscale Discussion 1240 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1233 PM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025 Areas affected...portions of southeastern New Mexico into western Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 101733Z - 101900Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Storms capable of large to very large hail and severe winds this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity has begun across the Davis Mountains in Texas and Sacramento Mountains in New Mexico. Temperatures in these regions have warmed into the low to mid 80s, with MLCIN remaining but eroding through time.
SPC Jun 10, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST NM AND FAR WEST INTO CENTRAL TX... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are expected to develop this afternoon and evening across parts of far southeast New Mexico, far West Texas and the Rio Grande Valley. Marginally severe storms will be possible from parts of the southern Plains eastward into the lower Mississippi Valley, along parts of the Atlantic Coastal states