SPC Mar 12, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 AM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025 Valid 121300Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF NORTH AND NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from north Texas and southeast Oklahoma into the Ark-La-Tex late this afternoon and evening. Large to very large hail and severe gusts are the primary hazards. ...Synopsis... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a potent mid-level shortwave trough over NM/Chihuahua quickly moving eastward into Far
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Wed Mar 12 02:17:02 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Mar 12 02:17:02 UTC 2025.
SPC – No watches are valid as of Wed Mar 12 02:17:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Wed Mar 12 02:17:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Mar 12, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0743 PM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025 Valid 120100Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are expected across far southern California and into Arizona tonight. Severe storms are not expected. ...Discussion... Recent radar and satellite show that a few isolated thunderstorms are ongoing near the mid-level low moving inland across California/southern Arizona. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will likely continue into the evening, spreading further east into central/southern Arizona as forcing increases inland. Cooling aloft will allow for modest buoyancy
SPC – No watches are valid as of Tue Mar 11 13:52:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Tue Mar 11 13:52:02 UTC 2025.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Tue Mar 11 13:52:02 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Tue Mar 11 13:52:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Mar 11, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0653 AM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025 Valid 111300Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are expected across far southern California and into Arizona today into tonight. Severe storms are not expected. ...Discussion... A potent mid to upper-level low west of southern CA will move east and evolve into an open trough and reach the AZ-NM/Sonora-Chihuahua border vicinity by early Wednesday morning. Isolated to widely scattered showers associated with the cold core will spread east during the day from southern CA
SPC – No watches are valid as of Tue Mar 11 02:22:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Tue Mar 11 02:22:02 UTC 2025.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Tue Mar 11 02:22:02 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Tue Mar 11 02:22:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Mar 11, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0748 PM CDT Mon Mar 10 2025 Valid 110100Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms have shifted offshore over south Florida, and will gradually do so over eastern North Carolina as well. Inland severe weather is not expected. ...Discussion... An upper low now centered over the lower Savannah River Valley will continue moving eastward this evening, eventually moving offshore/over the Gulf Stream. As this occurs, a surface low just offshore of the Carolina Coast will likewise shift northeastward. A cold front trailing