Tag: spc

Official

SPC Feb 28, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0620 AM CST Fri Feb 28 2025 Valid 281300Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities are very low Friday. Relatively dry and stable conditions will preclude organized thunderstorm development across the continental US today. ..Hart/Grams.. 02/28/2025 Read more
Official

SPC Feb 28, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CST Fri Feb 28 2025 Valid 031200Z - 081200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance suggests that an initially zonal, intense mid/upper jet across the western into central mid-latitude Pacific may undergo considerable amplification into and through this period. It remains a bit unclear how emerging waves will impact the downstream pattern by the middle to latter portion of next week. However, it still appears that one significant preceding short wave trough, migrating inland of the Pacific coast by early Monday, will progress into and across the southern
Official

SPC Feb 28, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0640 PM CST Thu Feb 27 2025 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms remain possible this evening, primarily across parts of the Mid/Upper Ohio Valley vicinity. ...01z Update... Strong upper trough is advancing across the OH/TN Valley region early this evening. Strong height falls will spread across the Mid Atlantic/Carolinas as the primary synoptic front shifts off the Atlantic Coast by 06z. Isolated thunderstorms continue ahead of a weaker, secondary surface boundary over the OH Valley, but this activity
Official

SPC Feb 27, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0702 AM CST Thu Feb 27 2025 Valid 271300Z - 281200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible from the Mid and Upper Ohio Valley to the Carolinas/southern Virginia. ...Synopsis... Recent satellite imagery shows a pair of shortwave troughs moving through the broadly cyclonic flow aloft extending from the northern/central Plains and southern Canadian Prairies into the OH Valley and Northeast. The lead wave in the pair is currently over the Upper OH Valley, and should continue northeastward through the
Official

SPC Feb 27, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0402 AM CST Thu Feb 27 2025 Valid 021200Z - 071200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...D6/Tue - East Texas into the Mid/Lower Mississippi Valley... A compact mid-level low will translate east across the Southwest on Sunday which will result in lee cyclogenesis in the southern/central High Plains. As surface high pressure across the Midwest translates east, favorable low-level trajectories and strengthening flow across the Gulf and southern Plains will initiate significant moisture return across Texas. The initial mid-level low will weaken as it moves across the Plains and into the