Tag: spc

Official

SPC Jan 17, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1117 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2025 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms may occur over parts of the Southeast on Saturday. Severe thunderstorm potential is forecast to remain low. ...Northern Florida/Florida Panhandle... A large upper-level trough will amplify through the period on Saturday with eventual phasing of the southern stream and polar jet across the Southeast by 12Z Sunday. Low-level flow will be mostly weak through the day Saturday which will keep better low-level moisture offshore. Saturday night
Official

SPC Jan 17, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1028 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2025 Valid 171630Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible from eastern Oklahoma into the Lower Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys and central Gulf Coast region this afternoon into early Saturday morning. ...Synopsis... Satellite imagery shows a well-defined shortwave trough moving through the southern High Plains, with another shortwave visible farther southwest in the vicinity of the northern Baja Peninsula. An extensive fetch of westerly/southwesterly flow aloft exists throughout the bases of these waves, extending from the
Official

SPC Jan 17, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1120 PM CST Thu Jan 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible across the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and central Gulf Coast region Friday night into early Saturday morning. ...Discussion... 500mb low is currently located along the CA/Baja Peninsula border, shearing east in line with latest model guidance. Associated mid-level speed max is forecast to translate across northern Mexico, early in the period, before advancing into the lower MS Valley by 18/06z. As this feature
Official

SPC Jan 17, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0645 PM CST Thu Jan 16 2025 Valid 170100Z - 171200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected tonight. ...01z Update... Thunderstorm potential is low tonight as deep convection remains suppressed across the southeastern Gulf Basin early this evening. Low-level warm advection is forecast to strengthen across the FL Keys late in the period, but thunderstorm activity should remain west of the southern tip of FL through sunrise. ..Darrow.. 01/17/2025 Read more
Official

SPC Jan 16, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1121 AM CST Thu Jan 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible across the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and central Gulf Coast region Friday night into early Saturday morning. ...Synopsis... A short-wave trough digging southeastward out of western Canada across the north-central U.S. will partially phase with a second trough moving out of the Desert Southwest across the southern Plains, resulting in evolution of large-scale troughing across the CONUS. By Saturday morning, highly amplified cyclonic