SPC Jan 8, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1233 PM CST Wed Jan 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through Friday night. ...Central to eastern Gulf Coast... Thunder potential appears quite limited on Friday as poor to weak mid-level lapse rates persist downstream of a positive-tilt longwave trough. Buoyancy inland appears negligible, but meager MUCAPE over the north-central Gulf may be sufficient for a thin, low-topped convective line to shift east through the day from coastal southeast LA through the FL Panhandle.
SPC Jan 8, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1103 AM CST Wed Jan 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through Thursday night. ...TX/LA... A northern-stream shortwave impulse should phase with an initially closed mid/upper low in the Gulf of CA vicinity, yielding a longwave trough from south-central Canada to northwest Mexico by Thursday night. Downstream low-level warm-moist advection will foster increasingly widespread precipitation across the South-Central States on Thursday as a surface cyclone becomes established off the western Gulf Coast. Despite ample
SPC – No watches are valid as of Wed Jan 8 09:41:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Wed Jan 8 09:41:02 UTC 2025.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Wed Jan 8 09:41:02 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Jan 8 09:41:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Jan 8, 2025 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0213 AM CST Wed Jan 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms may develop across parts of the Southeast on Friday, but no severe threat is expected. ...DISCUSSION... At mid-levels, southwesterly flow is forecast to be maintained over much of the Southeast on Friday, as a trough moves through the southern and central Plains. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move eastward into the Southeast on Friday, as a surface low progresses eastward near the
SPC Jan 8, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Wed Jan 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible on Thursday from parts of central Texas southeastward across the Texas Coastal Plain, and eastward into far southwest Louisiana. No severe threat is expected. ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough over the southern and central Rockies will move into the central High Plains on Thursday, as southwest mid-level flow remains over the southern Plains. At low-levels, a cold airmass will be in place throughout the southern
SPC Jan 8, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1058 PM CST Tue Jan 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Very isolated thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday night across parts of west Texas. ...West Texas... A closed mid/upper low will migrate slowly across northwest Mexico on Wednesday. Deep-layer southwesterly flow ahead of this feature will result in a warm advection regime atop a sub-freezing boundary-layer across portions of Texas Wednesday night into early Thursday. Meager elevated instability may develop within the 750-500 mb layer amid increasing moisture, cold
SPC – No watches are valid as of Tue Jan 7 21:29:01 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Tue Jan 7 21:29:01 UTC 2025.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Tue Jan 7 21:29:01 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Tue Jan 7 21:29:01 UTC 2025.
SPC Jan 7, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0142 PM CST Tue Jan 07 2025 Valid 072000Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...20z Update... No changes, thunderstorm potential over the CONUS is low through tonight. See the prior discussion for additional information. ..Lyons.. 01/07/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1002 AM CST Tue Jan 07 2025/ ...Discussion... Within the base of a highly amplified large-scale trough over the West, a midlevel vorticity maximum will phase with steep midlevel lapse rates over southwestern AZ today. While weak buoyancy