SPC Feb 13, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0643 AM CST Thu Feb 13 2025 Valid 131300Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL VALLEY OF CALIFORNIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated, marginally severe storms are possible from the Florida Panhandle into southern Georgia and parts of the Central Valley of California. Damaging winds and a brief tornado are the primary threats. ...Southeast... Lead shortwave trough continues to progress through the OH Valley this morning, and is expected to continue northeastward
SPC Feb 13, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward
SPC Jan 13, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0651 AM CST Mon Jan 13 2025 Valid 131300Z - 141200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. A few thunderstorms may occur near the northern/western Florida Gulf Coast today. ...Discussion... Prevalent warm advection/elevated moisture transport ahead of a weak low over the northeast Gulf of Mexico will influence eastward-developing convection today. Most of this convection will remain focused over the open waters of the northeast Gulf of Mexico, but a few thunderstorms could approach the Big Bend and
SPC Jan 13, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0618 PM CST Sun Jan 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms remain possible along parts of the central Gulf Coast tonight. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a low-amplitude short-wave trough progressing northeast along the middle TX Coast. This feature will lose its identity as it ejects into the central Gulf States later tonight. Scattered, shallow convection is noted ahead of this feature from the northwestern Gulf basin, extending northeast along the LA Coast into southern AL.
SPC Dec 13, 2024 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0142 PM CST Fri Dec 13 2024 Valid 132000Z - 141200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized severe thunderstorms appear unlikely through tonight. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast reasoning (see below) remains the same, and only minor changes were made with this update. ..Weinman.. 12/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1030 AM CST Fri Dec 13 2024/ ...Southern/Central Plains into the Ozarks/ArkLaTex... A compact shortwave trough over the Great Basin this morning will move eastward across the southern/central Plains through tonight while gradually amplifying. Related low-level
SPC Dec 13, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CST Fri Dec 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential is expected to remain limited on Sunday. ...Synopsis... A broad mid-level trough will move from the Great Basin on Sunday morning to the central Plains by Monday morning, amplifying early Monday morning. Lee troughing will persist through the period across the Plains which will strengthen the low-level jet and increase moisture advection into the Plains and Ozarks. Weak isentropic ascent could lead to isolated thunderstorm
SPC Dec 13, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CST Fri Dec 13 2024 Valid 161200Z - 211200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave upper trough will traverse the Midwest and Great Lakes region on Day 4/Mon. Meanwhile, a cold front will track southeast across the southern Plains and Mid-South vicinity, extending from northern AL toward the Upper TX Coast/south-central TX by early Day 5/Tue. Southerly low-level flow ahead of the front will bring Gulf moisture across the south and east Texas into the lower MS Valley/central Gulf coast region, aiding in modest destabilization on Monday. However
SPC Dec 13, 2024 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CST Fri Dec 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential is expected to remain limited on Sunday. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will migrate east from the Rockies into the Plains on Sunday. As this occurs, a surface low will track across the northern Plains. Meanwhile, a cold front will develop southeast across much of the northern/central Plains through the day. The front will continue southeast through the nighttime hours, becoming positioned from near Lake Michigan
SPC Dec 13, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1154 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday. ...Central/South-Central States... An upper cyclone and attendant trough will lift east/northeast from the central/southern Plains toward the Great Lakes on Saturday. Only a weak reflection of this upper system is expected at the surface, where a low over eastern KS during the morning hours will generally weaken as it lifts northeast into the Upper Midwest. Southerly low-level flow will transport 60s
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, November 13, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Strong high pressure over the Northeast U.S. will bring breezy conditions across the state this afternoon as wind gusts of 15-20 mph developing across the state with stronger wind gusts of 25-30 mph across portions of South Florida and the Keys. Mostly dry conditions can be expected throughout the daytime hours with spotty to isolated showers along the Florida East Coast and I-95 corridor with onshore winds (15-30% chance of rain). A frontal system moving eastward across the Midwest and Deep South will bring a warm