Tag: 20,

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SPC Jan 20, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 PM CST Mon Jan 20 2025 Valid 202000Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are expected across the U.S. through tonight. ...20z Update... No changes are needed to the D1 Convective Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton/Mosier.. 01/20/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1028 AM CST Mon Jan 20 2025/ ...Synopsis... Another surge of cold air is anticipated across the CONUS, reinforcing the polar airmass already in place. This will result in a maintenance of dry and stable conditions, with
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SPC Jan 20, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 PM CST Mon Jan 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected through Wednesday night. ...Synopsis... Conditions will be too dry/stable for potential lightning-producing convection across the CONUS through the period. ..Grams.. 01/20/2025 Read more
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SPC Jan 20, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1102 AM CST Mon Jan 20 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday through Tuesday night. ...Synopsis... Thunder potential will be nil across much of the CONUS during the D2 period. Deep convection will be relegated to the Gulf, initially over the west-central portion before spreading towards the southeast part late. The slimmest of elevated buoyancy (MUCAPE below 100 J/kg) along the Upper TX to LA Gulf Coast may coincide with mixed-phase parcels, supporting weak convection
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SPC Jan 20, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1028 AM CST Mon Jan 20 2025 Valid 201630Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are expected across the U.S. through tonight. ...Synopsis... Another surge of cold air is anticipated across the CONUS, reinforcing the polar airmass already in place. This will result in a maintenance of dry and stable conditions, with no thunderstorms anticipated. Some deeper convection is possible late tonight/early tomorrow along the middle/upper TX Coast as warm-air advection strengthens throughout the warm sector of surface low developing over the
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SPC Jan 20, 2025 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Jan 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... An elongated upper trough will exit the East Coast early in the day, as another positive-tilt trough moves into the central CONUS. This trough will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the southern Plains. Meanwhile, an upper ridge will exist along the West Coast, with additional disturbances diving south into the northern Rockies. At the surface, a stable air mass
Official

SPC Jan 20, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1149 PM CST Sun Jan 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday. ...Synopsis... A large positive-tilt upper trough will stretch from the upper Great Lakes into the southern High Plains Tuesday morning, and will progress toward the East Coast by 12Z Wednesday. Behind this wave, another lobe of vorticity will drop south across the Rockies and toward the Plains late. At the surface, a strong high pressure ridge will extend from the Great Basin all
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SPC Jan 20, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1101 PM CST Sun Jan 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. today through tonight. ...Discussion... A significant short wave perturbation is forecast to continue progressing through the crest of blocking larger-scale mid-level ridging centered over the northeastern Pacific, eventually digging across the Canadian Rockies and adjacent Pacific Northwest by late tonight. Downstream, short wave ridging likely will overspread the Canadian Prairies, northern U.S. Rockies and Great Basin, in the wake of
Official

SPC Dec 20, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0644 AM CST Fri Dec 20 2024 Valid 201300Z - 211200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not forecast across the contiguous United States through tonight. ...Synopsis... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows an upper trough centered over the Great Lakes, with this feature forecast to move east into the Northeast and east of the Mid-Atlantic states by late tonight. Farther west, a mid-level ridge will reside over the Rockies with an upper trough over the eastern Pacific approaching the northern CA/Pacific Northwest
Official

SPC Dec 20, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 AM CST Fri Dec 20 2024 Valid 231200Z - 281200Z ...DISCUSSION... A more active southern-stream pattern should evolve next week, with several lower latitude troughs crossing the southern tier along with some northward increase in low-level moisture across parts of Texas to the Lower Mississippi Valley and Gulf Coast. One such shortwave trough should influence increasing thunderstorm potential across east/southeast Texas on Tuesday/Day 5. Some severe risk could materialize, but it appears that overall buoyancy will be weak with the severe potential currently expected to be