SPC Mar 25, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the Pacific Northwest on Wednesday afternoon into the evening. ...Synopsis... Slow progression of the upper pattern -- a general western ridge/eastern trough configuration -- is expected Wednesday. Upstream, an eastern Pacific trough/low will strengthen as it nears the Pacific Northwest Coast. At the surface, a rather ill-defined baroclinic zone will extend
SPC Mar 25, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND FROM CENTRAL TEXAS INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Gusty winds, along with some risk for hail, will accompany isolated thunderstorms across the southeastern Florida Peninsula, and parts of southeast Oklahoma into central Texas. ...Southern FL Peninsula... Upper trough is firmly established over the eastern U.S. early this morning. Along the southern fringe of this wave, a low-latitude short-wave trough is digging east-southeast toward
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, February 25, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Areas of patchy fog and low clouds throughout the state this morning will gradually lift and dissipate as the sun rises. Showers will continue this morning across Northeast Florida and portions of the East Coast through the early afternoon hours as yesterday's disturbance moves away from the Southeast Florida coastline (25-55% chance of rain). The low pressure system will gradually pull away from the eastern coastline through today and towards the western Atlantic allowing high pressure to shift over the Southeast U.S. Drier conditions will gradually
SPC Feb 25, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0632 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2025 Valid 251300Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible from the northern and central Plains today into the Mid Mississippi Valley overnight. A few isolated thunderstorms are possible across western Colorado as well. Severe thunderstorms are not anticipated. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Early morning satellite imagery reveals an active northern stream, with one shortwave trough progressing through the Upper Great Lakes/OH Valley and another moving into the northern Rockies, downstream of a cyclone moving
SPC Feb 25, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2025 Valid 281200Z - 051200Z ...DISCUSSION... A dry, continental airmass across the eastern CONUS and northern Gulf will keep severe weather potential low on D4/Fri and D5/Sat. By D6/Sun, as the mid-level low starts to translate into the southern Plains, robust low-level moisture advection is expected to occur ahead of a developing surface cyclone. After this time, severe weather may be possible any day through early next week. In general, the overall pattern suggests moisture returning to the southern Plains and
SPC Feb 25, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0644 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2025 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...AND OVER SOUTH FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms remain possible across the Florida Keys/far southern Florida this evening. Localized damaging gusts or a brief tornado may occur. Isolated strong wind gusts are also possible across parts of the Pacific Northwest. ...01z Update... Strong 12hr mid-level height falls are spreading across the Pacific Northwest in response to a progressive trough that will advance
SPC Jan 25, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 PM CST Sat Jan 25 2025 Valid 252000Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States through tonight. ...20z Update... No changes were made to the prior outlook. Isolated thunderstorms will remain possible this afternoon and evening across portions of the central Valley of CA. Weak buoyancy (MUCAPE~ 100-200 J/kg) may support a few lightning flashes with low-topped storms beneath the advancing cold core upper low. Additional, mostly nocturnal, thunderstorms are possible over parts
SPC Jan 25, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 AM CST Sat Jan 25 2025 Valid 281200Z - 021200Z ...DISCUSSION... On Tuesday/Day 4, a mid-level low will likely be in the Desert Southwest. This low is forecast to move southward into northwest Mexico on Wednesday/Day 5, and then eject eastward across the southern Plains from Thursday/Day 6 into Friday/Day 7. This system is forecast to reach the Mississippi Valley late Friday night into early Saturday/Day 8. Ahead of the system, low-level moisture is forecast to return northward into parts of southern and central Texas, where
SPC Jan 25, 2025 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0224 AM CST Sat Jan 25 2025 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Monday from southern Louisiana into far southeast Texas, and in southern California, but no severe threat is expected. ...Synopsis... At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move through the lower Mississippi Valley on Monday. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the morning near the front, mainly across southern Louisiana. Additional thunderstorms could develop near the coast of southern California on
SPC Jan 25, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0628 PM CST Fri Jan 24 2025 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States. ...01z Update... Offshore flow, due to the presence of a dominant surface high, has shunted meaningful moisture/buoyancy well south/east of the CONUS. Thunderstorms are not forecast tonight. ..Darrow.. 01/25/2025 Read more