SPC Feb 15, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1124 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA...NORTHERN FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Locally strong wind gusts are possible Sunday morning, particularly across portions of the Southeast but possibly as far north as the Mid-Atlantic region. ...Synopsis... A vigorous/fast-moving short-wave trough -- embedded in broader cyclonic flow aloft -- will move quickly eastward across the eastern quarter of the U.S. Sunday. As this feature reaches the Atlantic
SPC Feb 15, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025 Valid 151630Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...MID-SOUTH...AND SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected from parts of far east Texas into much of the lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast this afternoon through the overnight. Several tornadoes and scattered to numerous damaging wind gusts should be the primary threats. A few strong tornadoes are also possible. ...Synopsis... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a potent mid-level trough over the
SPC Feb 15, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 PM CST Fri Feb 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...MID-SOUTH...AND CENTRAL GULF STATES... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is expected from East Texas and Mid-South into much of the Southeast. Scattered to numerous damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes are the primary threats. Storms are expected from late afternoon through the overnight hours. ...Discussion... Strong 500mb jet is currently digging southeast across the lower CO River Valley. This feature is
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 14 at 3:15PM CST by NWS Chicago IL
ESFLOT Favorable conditions for river ice development and possible ice jams will exist through today and then return early next week, impacting the Rock, Fox, Des Plaines, and Kankakee river basins. Very cold temperatures, favorable for rapid formation of river ice on most areas rivers, will continue through today. After a brief warm-up on Saturday, an additional period of very cold weather is expected to arrive early next week. Area river gauges indicate likely ice effects and a few minor ice jams, although no flooding appears imminent at this time. New and worsening river ice cover remains possible into tomorrow
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 14 at 10:01AM SST by NWS Pago Pago AS
ESFPPG Current satellite imageries show a trough over the islands while the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) is further south of the islands. Model data shows the SPCZ moving closer and over the islands by the new week. The SPCZ will likely produce consistent showers, heavy at times with possible thunderstorms throughout the week. Additionally, with all the anticipated rainfall, expect an increased risk of landslides, mudslides and rockslides in the steep and mountainous areas. Keep up to date with the latest forecast information through our internet page (weather.gov/ppg), local media, social media, or NOAA Weather Radio broadcasts. For more
SPC Feb 14, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1120 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI...FAR SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...AND WEST-CENTRAL ALABAMA.... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is expected from East Texas into much of the Southeast and parts of the Mid-South on Saturday. Scattered to numerous damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes are the primary threats. Storms are expected from late afternoon through the overnight hours. ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will traverse from the Southwest Saturday morning to
SPC Feb 14, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1016 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2025 Valid 141630Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are unlikely through tonight across the contiguous United States. ...Synopsis... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a large-scale upper trough over the West. This feature will amplify through late tonight as a 100-kt 500mb speed max moves through the base of the trough and into northern Sonora and Chihuahua. A belt of strong southwesterly mid-level flow will extend downstream of this upper trough into the southern Great
SPC Feb 14, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0648 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2025 Valid 141300Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are unlikely today and tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough over the western CONUS will further amplify today as it moves over the Southwest and southern/central Rockies. In association with this feature and related cold mid-level temperatures, isolated thunderstorms appear possible across parts of the southern Great Basin and Four Corners vicinity. But, overall coverage/intensity of this convection should be limited by meager low-level
SPC Feb 14, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0703 PM CST Thu Feb 13 2025 Valid 140100Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS COASTAL SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms may occur this evening across coastal southern California. ...California... Some convectively enhanced wind gusts may occur across coastal southern California this evening in association with a low-topped organized convective line ongoing near the LA Metro area. Local WSR-88D VWP data suggests around 40-50 kt west-southwesterly winds within the lowest 2-3 km AGL, while the 00z observed
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 13 at 5:38PM EST by NWS Gaylord MI
ESFAPX THE SPRING 2025 FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR NORTHERN MICHIGAN INDICATES A NEAR TO ABOVE AVERAGE PROBABILITY OF FLOODING DUE TO SNOW MELT WITHIN MAJOR EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN RIVER BASINS. THIS OUTLOOK COVERS CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN WHICH INCLUDES THE PINE RIVER BASIN...AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF LOWER MICHIGAN ENCOMPASSING THE AU SABLE... BOARDMAN...MANISTEE...RIFLE...AND TOBACCO RIVER BASINS. THE FIRST TABLE BELOW LISTS THE PROBABILITIES OF REACHING FLOOD STAGE (MINOR FLOODING)...AS WELL AS MODERATE AND MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS FOR THE SIX FORECAST POINTS WITHIN THE GAYLORD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA. THE CURRENT