Hydrologic Outlook issued February 13 at 5:38PM EST by NWS Gaylord MI
ESFAPX THE SPRING 2025 FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR NORTHERN MICHIGAN INDICATES A NEAR TO ABOVE AVERAGE PROBABILITY OF FLOODING DUE TO SNOW MELT WITHIN MAJOR EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN RIVER BASINS. THIS OUTLOOK COVERS CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN WHICH INCLUDES THE PINE RIVER BASIN...AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF LOWER MICHIGAN ENCOMPASSING THE AU SABLE... BOARDMAN...MANISTEE...RIFLE...AND TOBACCO RIVER BASINS. THE FIRST TABLE BELOW LISTS THE PROBABILITIES OF REACHING FLOOD STAGE (MINOR FLOODING)...AS WELL AS MODERATE AND MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS FOR THE SIX FORECAST POINTS WITHIN THE GAYLORD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA. THE CURRENT
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 13 at 3:06PM CST by NWS Chicago IL
ESFLOT Favorable conditions for river ice development and possible ice jams will arrive tonight into tomorrow and then continue into next week, impacting the Rock, Fox, Des Plaines, and Kankakee river basins. Very cold temperatures, favorable for rapid formation of river ice on most areas rivers, have moved into the region. An additional period of very cold weather is expected to arrive early next week. The formation of heavy river ice cover means that ice jams will be possible in isolated areas, especially along the Rock, Fox, Des Plaines, and Kankakee rivers. Ice jams may cause rises and fluctuations on
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 13 at 10:30AM SST by NWS Pago Pago AS
ESFPPG A South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) is forecast to develop and move over the American Samoa islands on Sunday and is expected to remain for at least the majority of next week. Rain may be consistent and heavy at times, which may lead to flash flooding. Low lying areas are susceptible to flooding as well as landslides along steep mountain slopes. Keep up to date with the latest forecast information through our internet page (weather.gov/ppg), local media, social media, or NOAA Weather Radio broadcasts. For more preparedness actions, please call Territorial Emergency Management Coordination Office (TEMCO) at 699-3800. Next
SPC Feb 13, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0643 AM CST Thu Feb 13 2025 Valid 131300Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL VALLEY OF CALIFORNIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated, marginally severe storms are possible from the Florida Panhandle into southern Georgia and parts of the Central Valley of California. Damaging winds and a brief tornado are the primary threats. ...Southeast... Lead shortwave trough continues to progress through the OH Valley this morning, and is expected to continue northeastward
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 12 at 6:19PM CST by NWS Memphis TN
ESFMEG There is an increasing probability of widespread rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 inches or more from Friday night through Saturday Night. This could lead to flooding of rivers across the Mid-South. Some rivers could approach moderate flood stage. The saturated soils in place ahead of this event could lead to quick rises in smaller creeks and streams causing flash flooding and overwhelming low lying, poor draining areas especially in urban settings. Stay tuned for additional updates and information to be prepared for this potentially significant flooding event.
SPC Feb 13, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 12 at 3:57PM EST by NWS Louisville KY
ESFLMK A system will arrive this weekend, with another 2.5 to 4.5 inches of rain in the forecast. Central and southern KY are currently expected to see the higher totals out of this wave as well. Overall, total rainfall amounts through Sunday could range between 2 and 3 inches across southern Indiana and north central KY, and 3-5 inches in southern Kentucky. With already saturated soils, and area rivers and streams continuing to run high, this rain will make areal flood and river flood threats increase as we move through the week. The river basins that stand the biggest threat
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 12 at 1:20PM CST by NWS Paducah KY
ESFPAH A large storm system is expected to bring as much as 3 to 5 inches of rain across parts of western Kentucky from Friday night through Sunday. While the situation still has time to change rainfall this heavy would likely lead to flooding impacts, including flash flooding and developing/worsening river flood conditions. Remain alert for later forecasts and possible watches and warnings.
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 12 at 12:32PM CST by NWS Chicago IL
ESFLOT Favorable conditions for river ice development and possible ice jams are expected beginning Friday and continuing into the weekend, impacting the Rock, Fox, Des Plaines, and Kankakee river basins. Very cold temperatures, favorable for rapid formation of river ice on most areas rivers, are expected Thursday through Friday and again early next week. The formation of heavy river ice cover means that ice jams will be possible in isolated areas, especially along the Rock, Fox, Des Plaines, and Kankakee rivers. Ice jams may cause rises and fluctuations on area rivers with little warning. This outlook means that elevated water
SPC Feb 12, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0651 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 121300Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST LA...SOUTHERN MS...AND SOUTHERN/CENTRAL AL... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will be possible this afternoon through late tonight from the Lower Mississippi Valley into and western Georgia. Primary severe hazards include the risk for a few tornadoes and scattered damaging gusts. ...Lower MS Valley into the Southeast... Lead shortwave trough continues to progress across east TX, while the broad parent upper troughing shifts eastward through the southern