SPC Dec 26, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0658 PM CST Wed Dec 25 2024 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible this evening into tonight from parts of the southern and central High Plains into the Southeast, and along parts of the West Coast. No severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough is evident on water vapor imagery over the southern Rockies. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible ahead of the trough in parts of the southern and central High Plains. Further to the east
Hydrologic Outlook issued December 25 at 5:48AM PST by NWS Seattle WA
ESFSEW An atmospheric river will bring significant rainfall to the Olympic Mountains today into Thursday. Widespread rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches are expected, with locally over 6 inches on the the highest peaks. Snow levels will increase from around 3,500 feet up to as high as 4,500 feet tonight before lowering once again Thursday. While precipitation will be much less with the systems beginning Friday the lack of much of a break will keep rivers over the Southwest Interior rising into the weekend. It is possible the lower reaches of the Chehalis could flood late Friday into Saturday.
SPC Dec 25, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0644 AM CST Wed Dec 25 2024 Valid 251300Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today (Christmas). ...Synopsis... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a mid-level disturbance over the northwest Gulf Coast while another upstream and more potent shortwave trough is located over UT/AZ. The Gulf Coast disturbance will weaken during the day as it moves east across the central Gulf Coast. Limited low-level mass response is forecast across southern LA due in part to relatively cool/stable conditions via
SPC Dec 25, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0639 PM CST Tue Dec 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms, capable of large hail and marginally severe gusts, will propagate across central into southeast Texas tonight. ...01z Update... Southern-stream short-wave trough will dig toward the lower Sabine River Valley late tonight. This feature will ensure at least a modest LLJ across the upper TX Coast into southern AR, ahead of a surface front that
Hydrologic Outlook issued December 23 at 4:24PM PST by NWS Seattle WA
ESFSEW An atmospheric river will bring significant rainfall to the Olympic Peninsula Wednesday into Thursday. Widespread rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches are expected in the mountains, with locally over 6 inches over the highest peaks. Snow levels will begin around 3000 ft during this time frame. An extended wet period with snow levels above 4000 ft Thursday through next weekend over the Olympics and into portions of southwestern Washington. The area of concern for additional river flooding impacts may expand east to include rivers in Thurston and Lewis counties. Please monitor the latest river forecasts from the National
Hydrologic Outlook issued December 23 at 3:42PM PST by NWS Portland OR
ESFPQR A series of systems will bring an extended period of wet weather across northwest Oregon and southwest Washington through the weekend. This will lead to rises on rivers and creeks, beginning Wednesday evening, Dec 25th through at least Sunday, December 29th. There is currently a 15-30% probability that rivers west of the Cascades reach minor flood stage over the next ten days. Heavy rainfall may also cause ponding of water or localized urban flooding, especially in low lying areas or other areas with poor drainage. This also increases the potential for landslides and debris flows. The exact track of
SPC Dec 24, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0651 AM CST Tue Dec 24 2024 Valid 241300Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST...AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to widely scattered strong to severe thunderstorms capable of large hail and damaging gusts are possible late this afternoon into the overnight. ...Central and eastern TX... Water-vapor imagery early this morning shows an upper trough digging southeastward over the southern High Plains. This upper feature is expected to reach eastern TX and the western Gulf of Mexico by
SPC Dec 24, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0359 AM CST Tue Dec 24 2024 Valid 271200Z - 011200Z ...DISCUSSION... At least some severe-weather potential is expected across East Texas and the Deep South for Friday/Day 4 and Saturday/Day 5. On Friday/Day 4, a secondary shortwave trough may evolve across the southern Plains in the wake of the shortwave trough related to Thursday's/Day 3 severe potential. While some severe storms could occur across east/southeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex on Friday/Day 4, details of available buoyancy are uncertain, especially given the short periodicity between these mid-level
SPC Dec 24, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0651 PM CST Mon Dec 23 2024 Valid 240100Z - 241200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight across the contiguous United States. ...Discussion... Little lightning activity is ongoing this evening across the CONUS, with a few flashes noted just off the northern CA Coast earlier. Weak levels of elevated instability ahead of the primary upper trough may support sporadic flashes through tonight, mainly over northern CA. A greater chance of thunderstorms will occur over parts of OK and
Hydrologic Outlook issued December 22 at 3:20PM PST by NWS Seattle WA
ESFSEW An atmospheric river will bring significant rainfall to the Olympic Peninsula Wednesday into Thursday. Widespread rainfall totals of 3 to 4 inches are expected in the mountains, with locally over 5 inches over the highest peaks are possible. Snow levels will remain around 4000 to 5000 ft during this time frame. An extended wet period with snow levels above 4000 ft Thursday through next weekend over the Olympics and into portions of southwestern Washington. The area of concern for additional river flooding impacts may expand east to include rivers in Thurston and Lewis counties. Please monitor the latest river