Tag: convective

Official

SPC May 4, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST AL...CENTRAL/NORTHERN GA...UPSTATE SC...AND ALSO FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe storms remain possible tonight from the Southeast into parts of the Mid Atlantic and Northeast. ...Southeast into the Mid Atlantic/Northeast... A cluster of strong to locally severe storms is moving across parts of central/south AL into north GA this evening, generally along and just ahead of a cold front.
Official

SPC May 3, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 AM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 031300Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS...MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon into evening from parts of the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. An isolated severe threat may develop across the Southeast, and also across parts of the Great Basin. ...Carolinas/Mid-Atlantic States to Southern New England... Thinking remains that the primary severe risk will focus today across parts of the
Official

SPC May 3, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large
Official

SPC May 2, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong thunderstorm development is expected from parts of central and eastern Texas to the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and into the Cumberland Plateau by evening. This includes potential for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley... A residual MCS, with diminished intensity since early on the
Official

SPC May 2, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0826 PM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF S CNTRL TX AND PARTS OF WRN/CNTRL PA...AND THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF SRN OK...NRN TX... CORRECTED HAIL GRAPHIC ...SUMMARY... Increasing strong to severe thunderstorm development is still expected tonight across parts of the south central Great Plains, mainly across the Texas Panhandle through the Red River vicinity, accompanied, primarily, by the potential for large hail and damaging wind
Official

SPC May 1, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011300Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY THROUGH THE TN AND OH VALLEYS INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND FROM THE TX/OK PANHANDLES EASTWARD ACROSS OK AND NORTH TX.... ...SUMMARY... Lines and/or clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are likely to impact parts of the Ohio Valley into lower Great Lakes, parts of the lower Mississippi Valley, and the southern Great Plains this afternoon through tonight. ...Synopsis... Early morning
Official

SPC May 1, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF SRN AND ERN TX...NRN LA...ERN AR...NWRN MS...WRN TN...SERN MO...SRN IL AND SRN IN... ...SUMMARY... The risk for strong to severe thunderstorm development may continue into late evening across parts of the southeastern Great Plains into Mid South and lower Ohio Valley, before waning overnight. ...01Z Update... A notable mid-level short wave trough emerging from the Southwest has reached the southern Great Plains
Official

SPC Apr 30, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0736 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 301300Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHWEST OK AND THE ARKLATEX... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST-CENTRAL MO ACROSS SOUTHERN IL INTO SOUTHERN IN... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on later today into this evening from the southern Plains into the Lower Ohio Valley, with the greatest risk expected across north-central Texas into the ArkLaTex region. Large to very large hail, damaging winds
Official

SPC Apr 30, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across
Official

SPC Apr 29, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0737 AM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 291300Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF WEST TX INTO SOUTHWEST OK...AND FROM THE OH VALLEY INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible within a broad swath from the Lower Great Lakes to the southern High Plains, mainly during this afternoon to evening. Corridors of greater threat are expected over the Upper Ohio Valley/Lower Great Lakes and in parts of west Texas into southwest Oklahoma. ...Synopsis...